NFL : IBN Picks - NFL Week 4
posted Oct 02 2016, 11:37AM
story by Risky Picks
posted in NFL, Betting

NFL Football - Sunday Week 4

*2016 NFL Season Record: 8-5-0 +$2,650

*2015 NFL Season/Playoffs Record: 96-85-4 +$2,722

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob) 

Co Write-Up via Jordan Barnes (@JumpmanJordan on Twitter)

 

Cleveland Browns @ Washington Redskins

Vegas Lines:

Line : WAS -7.5 (-110)

Total : O/U 47.5 (-110/-110)

 

The Washington Redskins look to end a three-game SU and against the spread home losing streak when they host the winless Cleveland Browns at FedExField.

The defending NFC East champion Redskins have stumbled out of the gate this season, losing two of three, but continue has finished OVER in eight straight.

Washington averages only 19 points per game in three straight home losses, finding the end zone just twice in two home games. The Redskins do face a Browns team that has been dismal on the road, averaging just 12.1 ppg while losing seven straight SU, 2-5 ATS.

Cleveland nearly got a comeback win last week in Miami before a missed field goal in overtime. With just one SU win in their past 14 overall, and a pair of injured quarterbacks, the Browns have nowhere to go but up as they look for their first win in Washington since 1988.

 

Key Trends
The Redskins are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games after winning as an underdog
The Browns are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 4
The total has gone UNDER in six of the Browns' last seven games as road underdogs

 

Cleveland Browns
Cleveland is 3-10-1 ATS in its last 14 games
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games
Cleveland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games on the road

Washington Redskins
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home

 

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Dallas Cowboys @ San Francisco 49ers

4:25

Vegas Lines:

Line : DAL -1 (-120)

Total : O/U 44.5 (-110/-110)

The San Francisco 49ers are 15-5 SU and ATS in their last 20 games played in the month of October. Maybe it's the fall air, but the 49ers hope that trend continues this October starting with a home game on Sunday against the Dallas Cowboys.

The 49ers started this season off with a dominant home opener in a 28-0 win over Los Angeles, but seem to be repeating history with two straight double-digit losses to follow up that big win.

Ezekiel Elliott had the first breakout performance of his career in last Sunday's 31-17 win over the Chicago Bears, with 140 yards on 30 carries. Elliott and quarterback Dak Prescott have both been impressive early in their careers, leading the Cowboys to a solid scoring clip of 25.7 points per game.

 

Key Trends

The Cowboys are 3-1 SU in their last four games against the 49ers
The Cowboys are 8-3 SU and ATS in their last 11 games on the road after a win on the road
The total has gone OVER in six of the Cowboys' last seven games against the 49ers


Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 2-3-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Dallas is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games
Dallas is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
Dallas is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 1-2-2 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing San Francisco
Dallas is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco

San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
San Francisco is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games at home
San Francisco is 2-2-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing Dallas
San Francisco is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas

 

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Kansas City Chiefs @ Pittsburgh Steelers

4:25

Vegas Lines:

Line : PIT -3.5 (-110)

Total : O/U 47.5 (-110/-110)

 

Le’Veon Bell is back from his suspension and will look to put the league on notice when he makes his first start of the season this weekend as his Steelers take on the Chiefs at home Sunday night.

The Steelers got suprisingly whooped by the Eagles 34-3 last week in a game Pittsburgh closed as 4-point favorites. Pittsburgh rushed the ball just 10 times in that game against a stout run defense but expect that number to be cranked up significantly against a Chiefs team that has allowed 123 yards on the ground per game.

The total has gone UNDER in five of the Chiefs’ last six games and six of the Steelers’ last seven games. Make sure to be aware of the total before you bet either side of this game as the Chiefs are 13-2 SU in their last 15 games with a closing total of 47.5 or less but are 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS in their last seven games when the total has closed at 47.5 or more.

These teams met back in October of last year when the Chiefs downed the Steelers 23-13 in a contest that went under a total of 41.5. That KC win would be the first of 11 in a row for Andy Reid and the Chiefs.

 

Key Trends

The Steelers are 12-2 SU and 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games after a loss
The Chiefs are 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games with a closing total of 47.5 or more
The Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against the Steelers


Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Kansas City is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games
Kansas City is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Kansas City is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Kansas City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City

 

 

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