NFL Report Week 9
posted Nov 05 2017, 11:35AM
story by Risky Picks
posted in NFL, Betting

NFL Football - Sunday Week 9

*2017 NFL Season Record: 8-5-0 +$2,650

*2016 NFL Season/Playoffs Record: 

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob) 

Co Write-Up via Jordan Barnes (@JumpmanJordan on Twitter)

via Oddsmaker,com




Tampa Bay Buccanears @ New Orleans Saints


Vegas Lines:

Line  NO -7 (-110)

Total : O/U 53.5 (-110/-110)



The Saints are playing much better on the defensive side of the ball this season. It’s something that would have been hard to fathom at the start of the year considering that New Orleans has finished in the bottom 10 of the league in total yards allowed every year since 2011. But since losing their first two games this season, they’ve held opponents to less than 20 points in four of their last five games (and won all five). 

The Buccaneers come to town ranking in the bottom 10 in both offensive and defensive efficiency this season and have disappointed bettors and experts who predicted they would make the leap to contention in the NFC. Add in that New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last five and it’s pretty close to a lock for the Saints to cover.

The total opened at 50 points between these two NFC South rivals and shootouts are a regular occurrence in the Superdome. The total has gone OVER in seven of New Orleans’ last 10 games and 12 of its last 16 at home. Despite their struggles, though, the Bucs are not to be dismissed when it comes to scoring as the total has gone OVER in four of their last five road games.

Another reason to consider the OVER is the Saints passing attack. It’s been top-notch since Drew Brees arrived to the Bayou and this year is no different as they rank fifth in passing yards, averaging 271 yards per game. On the other side of the ball, Tampa Bay has been atrocious defending the pass, allowing 274 yards per game through the air, which is third-worst in the league.

Bettors should have faith in this trend and place a wager on the OVER and watch the sparks fly in this contest.


Key Trends

Tampa Bay is 0-4-1 ATS in its last five games.

New Orleans is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games against Tampa Bay.

Tampa Bay is 0-5 SU in its last five road games.

Tampa Bay is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games

Tampa Bay is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans' last 10 games

New Orleans is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home









Denver Broncos @ Philadelphia Eagles


Vegas Lines:

Line : PHI -7 (-110)

Total : O/U 41 (-110)



The last time Denver was given this many points came all the way back in 2011 when Tim Tebow was under center for a game against the Patriots. Tebow and the Broncos got blown out by New England 41-23 in a game where the Broncos didn’t come close to covering the +7.5 spread.

Dating back to the 2000 campaign, the Broncos are 3-14 SU and 6-11 ATS when tabbed as dogs of 7.5 points or more. That’s bad news for this year’s club, which is experiencing some major issues on offense, as the Broncos have gone 1-4 SU and averaged just 12.2 points over their last five games.

The Eagles are averaging 32.3 points over their past four games. Many fans in the City of Brotherly Love are dreaming of a Super Bowl appearance right now, and with no other major contender in the NFC, it’s a realistic possibility at this point. Philly bolstered its running game at the trade deadline by dealing a fourth-round pick in the upcoming NFL draft to the Miami Dolphins in exchange for stud running back Jay Ajayi.

Home-field advantage has been massive when these teams have gotten together over the years, as visiting clubs are 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings between the Broncos and Eagles.


Key Trends

The Broncos are 11-3 SU in their last 14 games in the early afternoon.

The Eagles are 0-5 SU in their last five games on a six-game SU winning streak.

The total has gone OVER in five of the Eagles’ last seven games

Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

Denver is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

Denver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road

Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games

Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home








Kansas City Chiefs @ Dallas Cowboys


Vegas Lines:

Line : DAL -2.5 (-110)

Total : O/U 53.5 (-110)



I think it’s safe to say the Cowboys are a better team with Elliott in the lineup. The reigning rushing champion has been a man among boys in the last two games with five touchdowns and just under 300 rushing yards. And it’s no coincidence that Dallas has covered in its past two games and both games went OVER. Elliott’s presence heavily influences the total and spread in this matchup and he could be a nightmare for the Chiefs, who are allowing 153 rushing yards per game in their last three contests. Look for the offensive load to be shouldered by the star tailback and he could give Kansas City some headaches.

The Chiefs throttled the Broncos on Monday after coming off back-to-back losses to the Steelers and Raiders. Kansas City looks to be over its two-game slide and sports an excellent 6-2 SU and ATS record this season. Bettors should not be dissuaded from placing their wager on the Chiefs. They are 9-1 SU and ATS in their last 10 games on the road and would be undefeated away from Arrowhead Stadium this season if not for a final clunky Raiders drive.

The total opened at 51.5 and the OVER may be as close to a lock as there is. In KC games, the total has gone OVER in six of eight this season while the OVER has hit in five of the Cowboys’ seven contests. Add in that Kansas City is averaging 34 points per game on the road and this matchup seems like an offensive explosion waiting to happen, especially now that Zeke is back for Week 9.


Key Trends

The Chiefs are 3-1 SU on the road this season with an average margin of victory of 12 points.

The visiting team is 1-7 SU in the last eight games in this matchup.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City’s last 7 games on the road

Kansas City is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games

Kansas City is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games

Kansas City is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road

Dallas is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games

Dallas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Dallas is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home













- See more here.





Fantasy Questions Answered @IBNincarcerated



*Twitter Access For IBN Cappers*

*Email* Incarceratedbob@Gmail.Com – Get info on becoming a member ' all picks (All Sports) emailed daily.



**All Lines are from 5Dimes & Bookmaker ( /**

Follow Incarcerated Bob's **Fantasy Advice**

- See more here.

Risky Picks
Heavy interest on daring parlay bets with (straight up, spread and o/u) my beer money. Follow My picks daily to see if I achieve gambling alcoholism. ...

Recent IBN Stories