NFL Report Playoffs Round 1
posted Jan 07 2018, 11:54AM
story by Risky Picks
posted in NFL, Betting

NFL Football - Sunday Playoffs Week 1

*2017 NFL Season Record: 8-5-0 +$2,650

*2016 NFL Season/Playoffs Record: 

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob) 

Co Write-Up via Jordan Barnes (@JumpmanJordan on Twitter)

via Oddsmaker.com

 

 

 

Buffalo Bills @ Jacksonvile Jaguars

1:05

Vegas Lines:

Line: JAX -8 (-110)

Total : O/U 40 (-110/-110)

 

The Buffalo Bills and their fans were tired of hearing about “the drought.” After 17 seasons of being an underachiever and watching the Patriots dominate the AFC East, Buffalo is ready to make it rain in Jacksonville and party like it’s 1999. The Bills may have needed a little help to get back to the postseason (big ups to the Bengals) and should relish the opportunity to try to pull off a massive upset vs the heavily favored Jaguars.

This will be the first home playoff game in Jacksonville since 1999 (and now I’m starting to feel old). The Jags finished the season 10-6 SU overall and 6-2 SU at home, with those two losses coming against the Titans and Rams – both playoff teams. Jacksonville’s defense was a monster in the NFL as they finished second in total sacks, total interceptions and points allowed per game.

But while the casual fan knows “Sacksonville” was a dominant force, it’s on the offensive side of the ball where the Jaguars have vastly improved. They averaged just over 26 points per game, which is a full touchdown better than last season and their highest output since 1997. Blake Bortles is having a career year (by his standards) with 21 passing touchdowns and an 84.7 QBR but the elephant in the room is he still threw 13 interceptions and fumbled the ball a whopping nine times this season.

With a banged-up receiving corps and a stingy Bills secondary, which only allowed 13 passing touchdowns this season, the Jags may need to lean on a nicked-up Leonard Fournette to carry them to the next round. Fournette only topped 70 yards rushing once in the last five weeks but should have an easier time vs the Bills, who rank 29th in rushing yards allowed this season. Bettors will also be interested to know that the Jags were 3-0 SU and ATS in three games this season when they were favored by a touchdown or more.

For Buffalo, the main thing to focus on is getting LeSean McCoy healthy. The All-Pro running back went down with an ankle injury in Week 17 and will be a game-time decision to suit up. The Bills will be desperate to have him back in the lineup as Buffalo only averaged 18.9 points per game (ranked 22nd) and was 3-5 SU on the road this season.

McCoy’s presence may be the Bills’ only shot to pull off an upset. The Jaguars’ weakness this season was stopping the run and they allowed over 116 yards per game on the ground (ranked 21st). If you’re planning to back Buffalo, you’ll feel great knowing they showed flashes on the road this season when they knocked off K.C. and Atlanta and it’s worth noting they were 8-point dogs in both of those games.

And the way Jacksonville ended its season could be a great sign for Bills supporters. The Jags dropped back-to-back games to the Niners and Titans and going into the playoffs off a loss doesn’t usually bode well for teams looking to advance. In the last four seasons, teams that lost in Week 17 were 2-7 SU and 3-6 ATS in nine playoff games.

 

 

Key Trends

The total has gone OVER in the Bills’ last five games against the Jaguars.

The visiting team is 5-1 ATS in the last six games in this matchup.

The Jags are 5-0 SU in their last five games at home with an average margin of victory of 16.6 points.

Buffalo is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

Buffalo is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games

Buffalo is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road

Jacksonville is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games

Jacksonville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Jacksonville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

 

 

VINNY THE GAMBLERS **FREE PICK** :: 

GET ACCESS NOW HERE


 

Carolina Panther @ New Orleans Saints

4:25

Vegas Lines:

Line : NO -7 (-110)

Total : O/U 47.5 (-110)

 

 

Back in the playoffs for the first time since the 2013 season, the New Orleans Saints are paired up with a familiar foe in the wild-card round with their divisional rival, the Carolina Panthers, in town on Sunday. The Saints laid the smack down in two games vs the Panthers this season, winning by double digits in each game while scoring 65 total points. After originally opening at -4, the Saints now find themselves as a 6.5-point favorite.

It’s been an up-and-down season for the Panthers with wins over the likes of the Patriots and Vikings mixed in with a handful of underwhelming performances. The Saints, on the other hand, have just kept marching (sorry) all season long and are on a seven-game home winning streak where they’ve won by an average of 11 points. The Saints have been a headache for visiting defenses as they lead the NFL in points per game at home (30.1), while the Panthers defense has been rather mediocre, allowing 26.6 points per game in their last three road games.

Those two losses to the Saints might be all the evidence needed to fade the Panthers, but if you’re looking for more, all you need to do is take a look at net yards per play. Over its last three games, Carolina ranks 31st in the league in net yards per play while the Saints rank seventh over their last three and first over the course of the entire season. There’s definitely a lot working against the Panthers, but don’t forget they were an excellent bet as an underdog this season, going 5-2 SU and ATS.

Taking a look at the 48.5 point total, bettors will be interested to know that the total has gone OVER in six of the last seven games between these teams. Those games had an average combined score of 57.1.

 

Key Trends

The Saints are 5-0 SU in their last five home playoff games with an average win margin of 11.4 points.

Drew Brees has 13 TDs and three INTs in his last five games vs Carolina.

The Panthers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games on the road against the Saints.

Carolina is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games

Carolina is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games

Carolina is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road

New Orleans is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

New Orleans is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games

New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

The total has gone OVER in 15 of New Orleans's last 21 games at home

 

 

VINNY THE GAMBLERS **TEASER** :: $500 SCROLL DOWN BELOW FOR ALL TEASERS

RANDIZZLE'S **FREE PICK** :: 

GET ACCESS NOW HERE


 

 

VINNY THE GAMBLERS **PREMIUM PICK** ::  

GET ACCESS NOW HERE

IBN CAPPER'S UPDATED PICKS 

RISKY PICKS (@JUMPMANJORDAN) : 


 

BOB's *FREE* TEASER (3-TEAM ' SPECIAL 10PT TEASER)

 

 

VINNY THE GAMBLER'S *FREE* TEASER (7PT'S TEASE)

 


- See more here.

 


IBN FANTASY SLEEPERS (SUNDAY NIGHT)

1. 

2. 


Fantasy Questions Answered @IBNincarcerated


 

IBN CAPPERS ON TWITTER

*Twitter Access For IBN Cappers*

Twitter.com/Incarceratedbob

Twitter.com/GamblingVinny

Twitter.com/Cash_MoneyPicks

Twitter.com/JumpmanJordan

*Email* Incarceratedbob@Gmail.Com – Get info on becoming a member ' all picks (All Sports) emailed daily.

 

IBN FREE PICKS READY NOW '' FREE PICKS FROM ALL CAPPERS 

**All Lines are from 5Dimes & Bookmaker (5Dimes.eu / Bookmaker.eu)**

Follow Incarcerated Bob's **Fantasy Advice**

Twitter.com/IBNIncarcerated

- See more here.

Risky Picks
Heavy interest on daring parlay bets with (straight up, spread and o/u) my beer money. Follow My picks daily to see if I achieve gambling alcoholism....





Recent IBN Stories