NFL Playoffs Week 2 (Sat)
posted Jan 12 2019, 02:11PM
story by Risky Picks
posted in NFL, Betting

NFL Football - Playoffs Week 2

*2018 NFL Season Record:

*2018 NFL Season/Playoffs Record: 

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob) 

Co Write-Up via Jordan Barnes (@JumpmanJordan on Twitter)

via Oddsmaker.com

 

 

 

Indianapolis Colts @ Kansas City Chiefs

4:35

Vegas Lines:

Line: KC -4.5 (-105)

Total : O/U 55 (-110)

 

 

The Indianapolis Colts look to carry their momentum into Arrowhead Stadium as they collide with the No. 1-seeded Kansas City Chiefs. This is a rematch from their 2014 wild-card game in which the Colts mounted a comeback from 28 points down to earn a 45-44 victory at Lucas Oil Stadium. This week, though, it is Kansas City that is a 5-point favorite with the total opening at 57 points.

Indianapolis has turned the impossible into possible after starting the season 1-5 SU and is now competing in an AFC divisional-round game after finishing the regular season on a 9-1 streak. Last week, the Colts went into NRG Stadium and knocked off Houston 21-7 for their fifth win in a row and 10th in their last 11 games. Since running back Marlon Mack became healthy in Week 6, the Colts are 10-2 SU and are averaging 28 points per game, compared to 23.6 ppg in the five weeks prior.

Indianapolis has a true two-pronged attack with the aforementioned Mack, who averaged 75.7 rushing yards per game this season, excluding the wild-card game, which is the sixth-most in the league, and quarterback Andrew Luck. The 29-year-old signal-caller averaged 287 yards per game, the sixth-most in the NFL, once again excluding the wild-card game, while throwing for 39 touchdowns to rank second.

But it’s not just all offense all the time, as the Colts defense deserves some love as well. It is giving up 20.6 points per game this season, the ninth-best mark in the league, and since the Colts got onto their winning ways they’ve limited foes to just 15.55 points per game. Notably, they give up the eighth-fewest rushing yards per game at 101.8, while holding opposing quarterbacks to 236.6 passing yards per game, which is the 15th-fewest.

 

 

Key Trends

Indianapolis is 10-1 SU and 7-3-1 ATS in its last 11 games

Kansas City is 7-1 SU and 4-4 ATS in its last eight home games

Kansas City has surrendered the second-most passing yards per game in the league this season (273.4)

Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 8 games

Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

Kansas City is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Kansas City is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games

Kansas City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

 

 

 

 

Dallas Cowboys @ Los Angeles Rams

8:15

Vegas Lines:

Line: LAR -7 (-110)

Total : O/U 48.5 (-110)

 

The Dallas Cowboys completely stifled the run game of the Seattle Seahawks on Wild Card Weekend and will go from game-planning for the NFL’s No. 1 rushing offense to possibly the NFL’s top running back when they play Todd Gurley and the LA Rams in the NFC divisional round. Dallas opened as a 7-point underdog against the NFC’s No. 2 seed with the total opening at 49.5.

If you didn’t watch a lot of Dallas games this year and just looked at results, you might only be familiar with Dak Prescott, Ezekiel Elliott and Amari Cooper as the game-breakers for America’s Team. A lot more people were tuned in against Seattle and a lot more people now know that most of the damage for the Cowboys is done with those three on the sideline.

The Seattle Seahawks, who led the NFL in rushing this past season, were held to just 73 yards on the ground this past weekend, including a 28-yard run by Rashad Penney. Chris Carson, who averaged over 80 yards per game on the ground, was held to 20 yards on 13 carries.

An area where the Cowboys defense was exposed in the first meeting with the Seahawks was on third down. A huge determining factor in the playoff win was keeping Seattle to two third-down conversions on 13 tries, leading to a 35-minute time of possession stat for Dallas’ offense.

 

Key Trends

The Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as the underdog

LA had the No. 2 scoring offense in the NFL at 32.9 points per game

The total has gone UNDER in 10 of the Cowboys’ last 12 games on the road (avg. combined score: 36.0)

Dallas is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games

Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Dallas's last 12 games on the road

Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Rams

LA Rams is 4-7-2 ATS in its last 13 games

LA Rams is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games

LA Rams is 1-3-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home

LA Rams is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

 

 

 

 

 

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