NFL 2019 Week 7 Writeup
posted Oct 20 2019, 12:49PM
story by Risky Picks
posted in NFL, Betting



NFL Football - Week 7

*2019 NFL Season Record:

*2019 NFL Season/Playoffs Record: 

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob) 

Co Write-Up via Jordan Barnes (@JumpmanJordan on Twitter)





Oakland Raiders @ Green Bay Packers


Vegas Lines:

Line: GB -5.5 (-110)

Total : O/U 47.5 (-105)


Key Trends

The Raiders are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games after an ATS win.

The Packers are 15-3 SU in their last 18 games as home favorites.

The total has gone OVER in the Raiders’ last 5 games vs the Packers.

Raiders News & Notes

Oakland was quickly written off this season after starting the year off with a 1-2 SU and ATS record, getting blown out 28-10 by the Kansas City Chiefs and 34-14 by the Minnesota Vikings. But since then, the Raiders have pulled off back-to-back upset wins of 31-24 over the Indianapolis Colts as 6-point road underdogs and 24-21 over the Chicago Bears in London as 6.5-point underdogs.

The Raiders are now 3-2 SU and ATS and would actually be a playoff team if the postseason started before this week’s action. To keep the winning streak alive, Oakland will need to snap out of a 2-12 SU slump in its last 14 games as a road underdog and a 3-13 SU slump in its last 16 games coming out of a bye.

  • Oakland are 7-13 SU in their last 20 games.
  • Oakland are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against Green Bay.
  • Oakland are 0-7 SU in their last 7 games against Green Bay.
  • Oakland are 2-11 SU in their last 13 games on the road.


Packers News & Notes

The Green Bay Packers picked up a controversial win over the Detroit Lions on Monday night, landing on the right side of a handful of late referee calls that eventually led to the Packers kicking a game-winning field goal in the closing moments of the game for a 23-22 win. An ugly win counts the same as a pretty one in the standings, and the Packers are now 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS through their first six games of 2019.

Green Bay has historically dominated the Raiders, with a 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS record in the team’s last seven games against Oakland. The Packers have won those seven games by an average margin of 21.4 points per game.

  • Green Bay are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.
  • Green Bay are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games against Oakland.
  • Green Bay are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games at home.




Baltimore Ravens @ Seattle Seahawks


Vegas Lines:

Line: SEA -3 (-115)

Total : O/U 49 (-110)


Key Trends

The Ravens are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as road underdogs.

The Seahawks are 19-3 SU in their last 22 games when hosting an East Coast team.

The total has gone OVER in 12 of the Seahawks’ last 15 games.


Ravens News & Notes

Just how good are the Baltimore Ravens? We’re about to find out. John Harbaugh’s crew boasts a 4-2 record through six games, but those four wins have come against opponents with a combined record of 3-18-1. That includes last week’s victory over the Bengals, when Baltimore ran roughshod over an awful Cincy run defense for 269 yards on the ground and a 6.3-yard average per carry.

Things get a lot tougher for the Ravens over the next few weeks, beginning with this visit to Seattle and then a home game against the Patriots following a bye. With Baltimore’s secondary banged up and the defensive line struggling to generate pressure, that could spell trouble when it steps up in class to face Russell Wilson and Tom Brady in its next two games.

Fortunately, Lamar Jackson and the Ravens’ top-ranked attack can make up for some defensive issues, especially if deep threat WR Marquise “Hollywood” Brown returns to the lineup this week as expected.

  • Baltimore are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games.
  • Baltimore are 10-4 SU in their last 14 games.
  • Baltimore are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games against Seattle.


Seahawks News & Notes

Russell Wilson’s brilliant season continued last week as he led the Seahawks back from an early 20-6 deficit, throwing for 295 yards and two touchdowns while also running for a major. He’s yet to throw an interception and has been remarkably consistent, posting a passer rating of 100-plus in all six of his outings.

Seattle has needed stellar play from Wilson to overcome a defense that has been much leakier than we’ve come to expect from Pete Carroll’s crew, ranking 20th in total yards allowed and 22nd against the pass. Last week’s 32-28 win over the Browns was the fourth time in five games the ’Hawks have allowed 26 points or more.

But that defense will get a much-needed shot in the arm this week with the return of defensive tackle Jarran Reed (suspension), who recorded 10.5 sacks and 24 quarterback hits in 2018.

  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Seattle's last 10 games.
  • Seattle are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games against Baltimore.
  • Seattle are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games at home.




Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys


Vegas Lines:

Line: DAL -3 (-110)

Total : O/U 49.5 (-110)



Key Trends

The Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as road underdogs.

The Cowboys are 6-0 SU and ATS in their last 6 games vs the NFC East.

The Eagles are 0-3 SU in their last 3 games vs the Cowboys (avg. losing margin: 6.33).


Eagles News & Notes

The Eagles secondary got torched by Kirk Cousins in a 38-20 loss to the Vikings that dropped Philadelphia to 3-3 SU and 2-4 ATS.

In the span of a few hours, coach Pederson went from guaranteeing an Eagles win to showing confidence in his ball club. Two of the team’s three wins have come against the Redskins and Sam Darnold-less Jets and while the 34-27 victory at Green Bay was commendable, a 24-20 road loss at Atlanta back in Week 2 truly embodies a Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde persona. Which one will show up at Dallas?

Philadelphia’s secondary was shredded by Kirk Cousins for 333 yards and four touchdowns. Injuries to starting cornerbacks Ronald Darby (hamstring) and Avonte Maddox (concussion) were exploited and there’s no guarantee either will suit up Sunday night. Carson Wentz has game-managed his heart out with only one interception over the past month, but even he can’t save the Eagles from an injury-riddled defense that allows 38 points.

In an effort to milk the second-half clock, Minnesota compiled 122 rush yards against the second-ranked rush defense. However, over their past three, the Eagles have allowed fewer than 89 yards per game and have yielded just 72.8 rush yards per game this season. Plus, Ezekiel Elliott hasn’t looked sharp lately, which does play right into the Eagles’ strength.

Pederson is “hopeful” DeSean Jackson can finally return from an abdomen injury this week.

  • Philadelphia are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games.
  • Philadelphia are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games against Dallas.
  • Philadelphia are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games against Dallas.


Cowboys News & Notes

The Cowboys’ struggles continue as they lost their third consecutive game to fall to 3-3 straight up and ATS. The Cowboys are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games as home favorites with the OVER hitting in seven of 10. The OVER is 8-1-1 in the Eagles’ last 10 games as a road dog. The Cowboys’ 3-0 SU and ATS start to the season seems like a distant memory and Jason Garrett’s seat is toasty.

Although Dallas has lost its last three games by a combined 14 points, the offense appears stuck in a quagmire. The Cowboys are averaging 18.6 points per game but just 3.0 points per first half. That’s right, in six first-half quarters during their three-game losing streak, the Cowboys have scored nine points. Sluggish starts are not the way to win the NFC East or compete for a conference crown or Super Bowl championship.

Part of the problem is Ezekiel Elliott hasn’t looked sharp. He’s averaging 3.5 yards per rush during the losing streak. Amari Cooper missed most of the Jets game with a bruised thigh, which led to Tavon Austin (yes, same one) pacing the Cowboys in receiving. If Tavon Austin is your leading receiver, it’s time to go back to the drawing board. Cooper is questionable against the Eagles. 

  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas' last 9 games.
  • Dallas are 11-5 SU in their last 16 games.
  • Dallas are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games at home.
  • Dallas are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against Philadelphia.



















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