NFL 2019 Week 10 Writeup
posted Nov 10 2019, 09:35AM
story by Risky Picks
posted in NFL, Betting

NFL Football - Week 10

*2019 NFL Season Record:

*2019 NFL Season/Playoffs Record: 

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob) 

Co Write-Up via Jordan Barnes (@JumpmanJordan on Twitter)





New York Giants @ New York Jets  


Vegas Lines:

Line: NYG -3 (-108)

Total : O/U 44.5 (-110)


Key Trends

The Giants are 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.

The Jets are 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in the early afternoon.

The Jets have gone OVER in their last four home games after consecutive road games.


Giants News & Notes

Daniel Jones took over from Eli Manning as starting quarterback in Week 3 and led the Giants to a 32-31 upset win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. New York carried the momentum of that win into a 24-3 victory at home over the Washington Redskins, and appeared to be on the right track at 2-2 SU on the season.

Since then, the Giants have gone 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS over their last five games. Jones has had his ups and downs as you’d expect from a rookie, but the real issue has been the team’s defense, which has allowed 31.6 points per game over the team’s current five-game losing streak. Some fans were blaming a black cat running onto the field for a 37-18 loss on Monday night to the Dallas Cowboys – but things weren’t going much better before the cat showed up.

  • NY Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • NY Giants are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games.
  • NY Giants are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games against NY Jets.
  • NY Giants are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against NY Jets.


Jets News & Notes

If there was any doubt before that the Adam Gase hire was a colossal failure, getting dominated by the horrendous Miami Dolphins in a 26-18 loss to the league’s worst team should alleviate that doubt. The Jets are now 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS on the season, and Sam Darnold has regressed under Gase’s guidance even though the coach’s experience with quarterbacks was one of the main reasons he was hired in the first place.

Le’Veon Bell will reportedly be able to play through a knee injury this Sunday, but the Jets are holding him out of Wednesday’s practice as a precaution. Bell has been a major bust for the Jets this season too, averaging a dismal 3.3 yards per carry with only one touchdown in 125 rushes for 415 yards. The Jets are 1-8 SU in their last nine games as a betting underdog.

  • NY Jets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets' last 6 games.
  • NY Jets are 1-10 SU in their last 11 games.
  • NY Jets are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games at home.




Los Angeles Rams @ Pittsburgh Steelers


Vegas Lines:

Line: LAR -4 (-110)

Total : O/U 43 (-107)


Key Trends

Los Angeles is 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in its last 6 road games.

Los Angeles is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games as a favorite.

Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU and ATS in the past 5 home meetings with Los Angeles.


Rams News & Notes

Unlike the Chargers, the Rams are coming off a Super Bowl appearance and have a lot more to lose by being upset in this spot. If they lose this game, they might not even make the playoffs in what has become a very competitive conference race.

Los Angeles simply cannot afford to look past Pittsburgh here, especially with home games against the Chicago Bears and Baltimore Ravens on deck. The Bears are arguably worse than the Steelers at this point, so that theory does not even make much sense.

Regardless, the Rams have won 10 of their last 11 games vs AFC foes, with the lone loss coming to the New England Patriots in Super Bowl 53. They have also gone an impressive 7-3-1 against the spread in those games.

  • LA Rams are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Rams' last 7 games.
  • LA Rams are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games.
  • LA Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Pittsburgh.

Steelers News & Notes

If anything, Pittsburgh head coach Mike Tomlin has proven himself as one of the best in his profession by leading his team to a .500 record through the first half of the season, despite losing running back Le’Veon Bell and wide receiver Antonio Brown from last year and then quarterback Ben Roethlisberger and running back James Conner this year.

It really is amazing that the Steelers are in second place in the AFC North when the Cleveland Browns were heavily hyped and have failed miserably to live up to expectations.

Pittsburgh could have just tanked to get a better draft pick like some other teams, but Tomlin has kept the players focused and worked on developing them despite some tough circumstances. The Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against NFC opponents, so keep that in mind.

  • Pittsburgh are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Pittsburgh's last 15 games.
  • Pittsburgh are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
  • Pittsburgh are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games at home.




Minnesota Vikings @ Dallas Cowboys


Vegas Lines:

Line: DAL -3 (-120)

Total : O/U 48 (-108)



Key Trends

The Vikings are 0-6 SU and ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.

The Cowboys are 8-1 SU in their last 9 home games.

The Vikings are 7-3 SU and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs Dallas.


Vikings News & Notes

Against the Chiefs, Kirk Cousins finished with a completion rate below 70 percent for only the second time this season. He completed just 50 percent of his passes against a secondary that has allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete 63 percent of their pass attempts. Dalvin Cook averaged 3.4 yards per rush against a Chiefs front seven that has allowed 4.8 YPR. Granted, Kansas City’s defense is getting healthier, but Cook’s bid for the 2019 rushing title took one on the chin last Sunday.

Minnesota’s 4.7 yards per play – a popular metric among bettors – was well below its season-to-date mark of 6.2. The dink-and-dime stuff often costs visiting teams.

Speaking of yards per play, the Vikings defense has started to regress somewhat. While they rank 10th in YAPP on the season at 5.2, they’ve allowed 6.2 YPP over their past three games, sixth-most in the league during that stretch. To be fair, of the 147 rush yards they allowed to the Chiefs, 91 came on one play. So, if you ignore that, they allowed 56 yards on 17 rush attempts. This is what Vikings backers want to see ahead of a matchup against Ezekiel Elliott.

On the injury front, the Vikings lost wide receiver Adam Thielen for the second time in three weeks due to a hamstring injury. It appears he rushed back from the original pulled hammy and this one is going to cost him more time. Don’t expect him out there against the Cowboys. As head coach Mike Zimmer said, “Whenever the doctor says he’s ready.” He’s not ready.

  • The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Minnesota's last 18 games.
  • Minnesota are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
  • Minnesota are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games against Dallas.
  • Minnesota are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games against Dallas.


Cowboys News & Notes

The Cowboys (-7) turned three Giants turnovers into 13 points on Monday night and that was the difference between an ATS win and loss to New York.

Ezekiel Elliott rushed for a season-high 139 yards on 6.0 yards per carry. Zeke is averaging 118.3 rush yards per game over his past three contests.

The Cowboys pass rush finished with 12 hits and five sacks on rookie Daniel Jones. Saquon Barkley was held to 24 rush yards on 12 carries as the front seven dominated all four quarters. Dallas has allowed the seventh-fewest rush yards per game over its past three at just 90.3 RYAPG. With Dalvin Cook coming off one of his worst games, another challenge awaits Sunday night.

The Cowboys and Vikings allow an average of just 35.4 combined points per game this season, but Minnesota’s points allowed per game average is up more than four points per game over its past three games (21.7 PAPG).

  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Dallas' last 11 games.
  • Dallas are 13-5 SU in their last 18 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas' last 5 games against Minnesota.
  • Dallas are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games at home.



















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