NFL 2020 Week 8 Writeup
posted Nov 01 2020, 10:17AM
story by Risky Picks
posted in NFL, Betting

NFL Football - Week 8

*2020 NFL Season Record:

*2020 NFL Season/Playoffs Record: 

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob) 

Co Write-Up via Jordan Barnes (@JumpmanJordan on Twitter)

via Oddsmaker.com

 

 

 

 

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens

1:00 PM

BAL -4 (-108)

O/U  46 (-108)

 

Pittsburgh is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 road games as a dog.

Baltimore is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games as a home fave.

The underdog is 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

 

Pittsburgh News & Notes

The Steelers might feel like they got away with one last week in Tennessee, when they nearly squandered a 24-7 halftime advantage in a 27-24 victory.

Ben Roethlisberger was intercepted three times – including an end-zone throw into triple coverage when the Steelers could have kicked a field goal to go up six late in the fourth – as the Steelers managed only three points in the second half.

However, any concerns about Pittsburgh’s defense missing star inside linebacker Devin Bush were put to rest. The Steelers held Derrick Henry and the Titans to just 15 first downs and 82 rushing yards in their first outing since the second-year linebacker suffered a season-ending knee injury.

After emerging as one of the Steelers’ top receivers with 184 yards and 11 catches in his previous two games, Chase Claypool caught one ball for minus-2 yards against the Titans. Instead, it was Diontae Johnson who was Pittsburgh’s most productive receiver, hauling in nine balls for 80 yards and two TDs. Johnson had caught just one pass in his previous two games after hauling in 14 in the first two weeks of the campaign.

 

Pittsburgh are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Pittsburgh's last 20 games.

Pittsburgh are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games.

Pittsburgh are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games against Baltimore.

 

 

Baltimore News & Notes

The Ravens are 9-3 ATS following a bye under head coach John Harbaugh, but that trend has cooled in recent years. After winning and covering their first five with an extra week to prepare under Harbaugh, Baltimore is just 4-3 ATS in its last seven in that situation.

The Ravens have also failed to cover their last two games as a favorite following their bye, and they’re just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 as home favorites overall.

Harbaugh likely spent most of the extra time trying to figure out how to spark the Ravens’ passing game. Lamar Jackson hasn’t thrown for more than 200 yards since Week 2 against Houston, when he threw for 205.

Jackson did miss a couple of practices recently due to a sore knee, but the defending NFL MVP still managed to run for 108 yards in his next game and has gained at least 50 on the ground in four of his last five.

Veteran running back Mark Ingram returned to practice Monday after being forced out of Baltimore’s previous game with an ankle injury. Harbaugh said Ingram’s availability for Pittsburgh will depend on how he performs in practice.

 

Baltimore are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games.

Baltimore are 17-2 SU in their last 19 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home.

 

 

 

New York Jets @ Kansas City Chiefs

1:00 PM

KC -20 (-103)

O/U 49 (-110)

 

The Jets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games on the road.

The Chiefs are 15-1 SU and 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games.

The OVER is 5-2 in the Chiefs’ last 7 games at home.

 

 

New York News & Notes

Whatever happened in Week 5 against Las Vegas has long been forgotten, with the Chiefs reeling off consecutive victories in Buffalo and Denver to build a 2.5-game lead over the Raiders atop the AFC West. Most impressively, Kansas City held the Bills and Broncos to a combined 33 points and has surrendered more than 20 in a game just once through seven outings.

With the Chiefs expected to waltz to victory in this one, there’s a clear low-ownership daily fantasy option with big-time potential upside. Not only should new backfield acquisition Le’Veon Bell see plenty of work, he’ll have added motivation to stick it to the team that cut him after less than one and a half seasons, during which he averaged 3.3 yards per carry with four TDs in 17 games.

 

Kansas City are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games.

Kansas City are 15-1 SU in their last 16 games.

Kansas City are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games at home.

 

Kansas City News & Notes

We might as well start with the positives: The Jets were defensively stout in last week’s loss to the Buffalo Bills, holding the AFC East leaders without a touchdown despite allowing 422 total yards.

New York has held its previous two opponents to an average of 21 points after allowing 30 or more points in four consecutive games (going 0-4 ATS over that stretch).

That’s about all of the good stuff we have. The Jets are averaging just over 12 points per game for the season, with Joe Flacco and Sam Darnold combining to complete 56.3 percent of their passes for four touchdowns and seven interceptions. The running back duo of Frank Gore and La’Mical Perine averages just 3.6 yards per carry with just one rushing score in 119 attempts.

 

NY Jets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Jets' last 5 games.

NY Jets are 0-7 SU in their last 7 games.

NY Jets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against Kansas City.

 

 

San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks 

4:25 PM

SEA -3 (+107) *Not a typo

O/U 53.5 (-108)

 

The Seahawks are 11-2 SU in the past 13 meetings with the 49ers.

The 49ers are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games on the road.

The OVER is 5-2 in Seattle’s last 7 games.

 

San Francisco News & Notes

The 49ers have bounced back nicely from a pair of surprising home defeats to the Philadelphia Eagles and Miami Dolphins as big favorites, beating the Los Angeles Rams and New England Patriots as small underdogs. San Francisco remains a very well-coached team under Kyle Shanahan and proved that again in a 33-6 rout of New England last Sunday.

The 49ers saw Wilson rush for a career-high 112 yards on 17 carries and score three touchdowns, proving that Shanahan’s system can work even with an undrafted third-year player getting most of the reps.

With Wilson joining Raheem Mostert (ankle) on IR, it will be up to Jerick McKinnon to power the rushing attack. The good news is that the Seahawks are still surrendering an NFL-worst 479.2 yards per game, so either McKinnon or quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo should be able to take advantage of that.

 

San Francisco are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.

San Francisco are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games.

San Francisco are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games against Seattle.

San Francisco are 2-11 SU in their last 13 games against Seattle.

 

 

Seattle News & Notes

Seattle has been must-see TV through the first seven weeks of the season and will continue to be as long as quarterback Russell Wilson is on the field. The favorite to win his first league MVP award, Wilson has kept the Seahawks in every game they have played despite a porous defense that has been the worst in the NFL.

Last Sunday night’s matchup with the Cardinals was no exception, although he did throw multiple interceptions for the first time in six games that helped lead to the team’s first loss.

Regardless, Wilson threw for a season-high 388 yards, connecting on three touchdown passes to wide receiver Tyler Lockett (15 catches overall for 200 yards), and he also rushed for a season-high 84 yards at Arizona.

Seattle has gone 20-10 straight up (13-14-3 ATS) in its last 30 games as a home favorite of 3 points or less, according to the Odds Shark NFL Database, so the odds are good that the team rebounds in this spot.

 

Seattle are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games.

Seattle are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 9 games against San Francisco.

 

 

 

 

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