NFL 2020 Week 9 Writeup
posted Nov 08 2020, 09:21AM
story by Risky Picks
posted in NFL, Betting

NFL Football - Week 9

*2020 NFL Season Record:

*2020 NFL Season/Playoffs Record: 

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob) 

Co Write-Up via Jordan Barnes (@JumpmanJordan on Twitter)

via Oddsmaker.com

 

 

 

 

Seattle Seahawks @ Buffalo Bills

1:00 PM

SEA -3 (-103)

O/U  55 (-108)

 

The Bills are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games.

The Seahawks are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games as road favorites.

The Bills are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games as home underdogs.

 

Seattle News & Notes

Russell Wilson has been lighting the league on fire and it should not stop this week. Wilson has 26 touchdowns this season, good for an absurd 10.2 percent touchdown rate. That means Wilson is throwing a touchdown a little more than once every 10 pass attempts. With maybe the league’s premier receiving duo right now in D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett, there is no reason to think Wilson’s torrid pace won’t continue.

The state of the Seahawks’ backfield makes it even more likely that Wilson maintains his potentially historic pace. Running backs Chris Carson, Rashaad Penny, Carlos Hyde and Travis Homer all have significant injuries or questions about their availability for this week.

That leaves DeeJay Dallas as possibly the only healthy back playing in this game. Dallas is a rookie fourth-round pick who saw his first meaningful game action just last week. It’s safe to say they’ll be keeping the ball in Wilson’s hands.

 

Seattle are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 8 games.

Seattle are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games.

Seattle are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Buffalo.

 

 

Buffalo News & Notes

The narrative surrounding Josh Allen has shifted in recent weeks as the Bills signal-caller has come back to earth from his MVP-caliber start to the season. After throwing for 12 touchdowns and one interception in his first four games, Allen has just four touchdowns and four picks in his last four games. That includes no passing touchdowns over the last two weeks.

The good news for Allen is he gets to play against a Seattle defense that has allowed the second-most yards through the air this season. Allen and the Bills should have no trouble moving the ball through the air. Look for the mighty receiving duo of Stefon Diggs and John Brown to do their best Metcalf/Lockett impression this week in a likely shootout.

The Bills defense has its own problems as the unit has allowed the 10th-most total yards on the season, including the fifth-most rushing yards and 11 rushing touchdowns, tied for second in the league.

 

Buffalo are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 8 games.

Buffalo are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games.

The total has gone OVER in 9 of Buffalo's last 9 games against Seattle.

 

 

 

Miami Dolphins @ Arizona Cardinals

4:25 PM

AZ -6 (-109)

O/U 49 (-110)

 

The Jets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games on the road.

The Chiefs are 15-1 SU and 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games.

The OVER is 5-2 in the Chiefs’ last 7 games at home.

 

 

Miami News & Notes

Whatever happened in Week 5 against Las Vegas has long been forgotten, with the Chiefs reeling off consecutive victories in Buffalo and Denver to build a 2.5-game lead over the Raiders atop the AFC West. Most impressively, Kansas City held the Bills and Broncos to a combined 33 points and has surrendered more than 20 in a game just once through seven outings.

With the Chiefs expected to waltz to victory in this one, there’s a clear low-ownership daily fantasy option with big-time potential upside. Not only should new backfield acquisition Le’Veon Bell see plenty of work, he’ll have added motivation to stick it to the team that cut him after less than one and a half seasons, during which he averaged 3.3 yards per carry with four TDs in 17 games.

 

Miami are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games.

Miami are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

Miami are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games against Arizona.

 

Arizona News & Notes

We might as well start with the positives: The Jets were defensively stout in last week’s loss to the Buffalo Bills, holding the AFC East leaders without a touchdown despite allowing 422 total yards.

New York has held its previous two opponents to an average of 21 points after allowing 30 or more points in four consecutive games (going 0-4 ATS over that stretch).

That’s about all of the good stuff we have. The Jets are averaging just over 12 points per game for the season, with Joe Flacco and Sam Darnold combining to complete 56.3 percent of their passes for four touchdowns and seven interceptions. The running back duo of Frank Gore and La’Mical Perine averages just 3.6 yards per carry with just one rushing score in 119 attempts.

 

Arizona are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games.

Arizona are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games against Miami.

 

 

 

New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

4:25 PM

TB -4 (-110)

O/U 50.5 (-108)

 

New Orleans is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games vs NFC South teams.

Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU and ATS in its last 5 games vs New Orleans.

The OVER is 7-0 in New Orleans’ last 7 games.

 

New Orleans News & Notes

For the third time in as many weeks, the Saints picked up the win but failed to cover the spread. New Orleans has won each of its last three games over the Los Angeles Chargers, Carolina Panthers and Chicago Bears by exactly three points, improving to 4-0 SU over their last four games despite a 1-3 ATS record over that stretch. The Saints have shaken off a slow 1-2 SU start to improve to 5-2 SU but are still only 2-5 ATS on the season.

Michael Thomas is listed as questionable against Tampa Bay with the hamstring injury that has kept him out since Week 1. In his absence, Alvin Kamara has taken on an even bigger role in the passing game with 55 receptions for 556 receiving yards thus far in 2020. The Saints have managed to produce 29.4 points per game even with one of the NFL’s top wide receivers on the sideline all season long.

New Orleans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans' last 7 games.

New Orleans are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

New Orleans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Tampa Bay.

 

 

Tampa Bay News & Notes

The Buccaneers went into halftime of Monday Night Football down 14-6 to the New York Giants. But in the second half, Tom Brady threw two touchdown passes to put the Buccaneers in the lead, and they eventually came away with a 25-23 victory. Brady has now thrown 17 touchdown passes with only one interception over his last six games.

Chris Godwin missed that game against New York with a finger injury and is listed as questionable for Sunday against the Saints. Brady will have a new weapon to throw to this week, however, as the recently signed Antonio Brown is eligible to play after serving out his suspension last week.

The Buccaneers already rank fourth in the NFL in scoring with 30.9 points per game; adding a weapon like Brown will only make this group even more explosive, assuming he can avoid any off-the-field issues.

 

The total has gone OVER in 15 of Tampa Bay's last 20 games.

Tampa Bay are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games against New Orleans.

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games at home.

 

 

 

 

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