NFL 2020 Week 12 Writeup
posted Nov 29 2020, 12:13PM
story by Risky Picks
posted in NFL, Betting

NFL Football - Week 12

*2020 NFL Season Record:

*2020 NFL Season/Playoffs Record: 

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob) 

Co Write-Up via Jordan Barnes (@JumpmanJordan on Twitter)






Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts

1:00 PM

IND -3 (-102)

O/U  51.5 (-109)


The total has gone OVER in 5 of the Colts’ last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 7 of the Titans’ last 9 games.

The Colts are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home.


Tennessee News & Notes

The Titans offense has evolved into one of the most efficient and effective units in the league. Tennessee ranks tied for fifth in yards per play, averaging 5.9 yards, and has committed just five turnovers through 10 games to lead the NFL. That kind of efficiency makes the Titans tough to defend as they are capable of scoring quickly and protecting a lead with their six-foot-three, 247-pound running back.

Derrick Henry tops the league in rushing through 10 games as the Pro Bowl behemoth now has 1,079 rushing yards and nine touchdowns. Henry rushed 19 times for 103 yards two weeks ago against the Colts, a commendable feat as the Colts have given up the third-fewest rushing yards per attempt this year (3.5).


The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tennessee's last 9 games.

Tennessee are 10-4 SU in their last 14 games.

Tennessee are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Indianapolis.

Tennessee are 3-15 SU in their last 18 games against Indianapolis.


Indianapolis News & Notes

Although the defense gets much of the credit for the team’s success, the Colts offense has been quite strong this season. The Colts have scored the 10th-most points despite mediocre rankings in most major passing and rushing categories.

For the most part, the Colts have been producing by committee as they have seven players with more than 200 receiving yards but none over 400. Zach Pascal is the team’s leading receiver with a modest 31 receptions for 384 yards and two touchdowns.

The defense has truly been the engine that drives the team and it may be the top unit in professional football. The Colts have allowed the fourth-fewest passing yards and third-fewest rushing yards and have forced the fifth-most turnovers. As well, opposing teams have the worst starting field position against the Colts. Opponents are starting drives, on average, at their 24.4-yard line.


Indianapolis are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis' last 6 games.

Indianapolis are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

Indianapolis are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home.




Kansas City Chiefs @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

4:25 PM

IND -3 (-108)

O/U 56 (-105)


The total has gone OVER in 5 of the Colts’ last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 7 of the Titans’ last 9 games.

The Colts are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home.


Kansas City News & Notes

The Las Vegas Raiders took a 31-28 lead over the Chiefs with just 1:43 left on the clock last Sunday night. Unfortunately for the Raiders, that was way too much time for Patrick Mahomes, who effortlessly drove Kansas City down the field on a 75-yard touchdown drive that took only seven plays and 75 seconds. The Chiefs held on for a 35-31 victory, picking up their fifth straight win despite failing to cover the spread as 7.5-point favorites.

Kansas City is now 9-1 SU and 6-4 ATS on the season. The Chiefs offense is averaging 36.5 points per game over the team’s last four games and Mahomes now has 3,035 passing yards, 27 touchdown passes and only two interceptions in 2020. Andy Reid’s squad is a staggering 18-1 SU and 15-4 ATS over its last 19 games.


Kansas City are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games.

Kansas City are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games.

Kansas City are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Tampa Bay.



Tampa Bay News & Notes

For the second time in his last three games, Tom Brady did not look good at all in Tampa Bay’s 27-24 loss to the Los Angeles Rams on Monday night. Brady completed just 54.2 percent of his passes for 216 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions in the loss and has now thrown five interceptions in his last three games.

The Buccaneers have a top-10 defense that ranks fifth in the NFL in total yards allowed at 310.5 per game and 10th in scoring defense at 23 points per game. Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Antonio Brown and Rob Gronkowski make up arguably the best receiving corps in the NFL. All of the pieces are in place for Tampa Bay to make a deep postseason run, but Brady will need to play better than he has of late to make that happen.


The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games.

Tampa Bay are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games.

The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 11 games at home.

Tampa Bay are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City.





Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers

8:20 PM

GB -8 (-108)

O/U 48 (-114)


The Raiders are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 divisional games.

The Chiefs are 9-0 SU in their last 9 divisional road games.

The UNDER is 6-2 in Las Vegas’ last 8 prime-time games.


Chicago News & Notes

As the Bears return from a much-needed break, they face plenty of questions. Who will be the Week 12 starting quarterback, and will it matter who gets the call between Mitchell Trubisky and Nick Foles? Has running back David Montgomery sufficiently healed from his concussion, and will he be able to improve upon what has been a mostly forgettable 2020 season vs Green Bay?

The player who could wind up making the biggest difference for Chicago is wide receiver Allen Robinson, whose game-breaking ability has been hampered by consistently poor quarterback play. Robinson comes into the Sunday nighter with 63 catches for 755 yards but has just three touchdowns, with only one of those scores coming over his past six games.


Chicago are 7-13 ATS in their last 20 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games.

Chicago are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.

Chicago are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games against Green Bay.



Green Bay News & Notes

This could be, for all intents and purposes, the game that clinches the division title for the Packers. They come in a game and a half ahead of the second-place Bears, and a victory would give them an almost insurmountable lead. But a loss will make things rather interesting, especially when you consider that these teams will meet again in their regular-season finale.

The most reliable player on either side of the field for daily fantasy purposes: wide receiver Davante Adams, who has TDs in six of eight games played and has found the end zone 10 times already this season. The Bears gave Adams a tougher time than most teams in 2019, limiting him to just 11 catches on 21 targets for 139 yards and one touchdown in two head-to-head meetings.

Green Bay are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 8 of Green Bay's last 12 games.

Green Bay are 13-4 SU in their last 17 games.

Green Bay are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games at home.










Raiders -3









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Risky Picks
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