NFL 2020 Week 13 Writeup
posted Dec 06 2020, 10:45AM
story by Risky Picks
posted in NFL, Betting

NFL Football - Week 13

*2020 NFL Season Record:

*2020 NFL Season/Playoffs Record: 

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob) 

Co Write-Up via Jordan Barnes (@JumpmanJordan on Twitter)

via Oddsmaker.com

 

 

 

 

Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans

1:00 PM

TEN -4 (-108)

O/U  53 (-108)

 

The Titans are 11-3 SU in their last 14 games as a favorite.

The Browns are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs the AFC.

The Titans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.

 

Cleveland News & Notes

The Browns’ “run the ball and play defense” approach has been effective largely due to a two-headed monster at running back. Nick Chubb may be the best pure runner in the NFL and he is proving that this season as he ranks seventh in the league in rushing yards despite playing only six full games and is averaging 6.7 yards per rush – first among running backs.

Backfield counterpart Kareem Hunt has not been too bad himself – he ranks ninth in rush yards and fourth on the team with 22 receptions.

In Week 12, the Browns were without their two best defenders in defensive end Myles Garrett and cornerback Denzel Ward. This is a situation worth monitoring as Ward seems likely to miss this matchup while Garrett could return from the COVID-19 list this week.

 

Cleveland are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games.

Cleveland are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games.

Cleveland are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against Tennessee.

 

 

Tennessee News & Notes

While Cleveland has a two-headed monster at running back, Tennessee has a running back who might be bigger and scarier than the Browns pair combined. Derrick Henry leads the league with 1,257 rushing yards and is second in the NFL with 12 touchdowns on the ground. Henry has been so dominant that he is starting to garner MVP buzz.

The Titans offense has been extremely efficient, turning into one of the league’s top units and most recently dismantling the great Indianapolis defense. There is no reason to believe the Titans will not keep up their torrid scoring pace against the Browns. Look for Henry and star receiver A.J. Brown to lead the charge for the Titans. Brown has scored at least one touchdown in seven of his nine games this season.

 

The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tennessee's last 10 games.

Tennessee are 11-4 SU in their last 15 games.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games against Cleveland.

The total has gone OVER in 9 of Tennessee's last 12 games at home.

 

 

Los Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals

4:25 PM

LAR -2.5 (-108)

O/U 48.5 (-108)

 

The total has gone OVER in 5 of the Colts’ last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 7 of the Titans’ last 9 games.

The Colts are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home.

 

Los Angeles News & Notes

The San Francisco 49ers have been a bad matchup for Los Angeles over the years, so Sunday’s 23-20 home loss as a 5-point favorite should not be shocking.

The Rams ended up getting swept by the 49ers in the two meetings this year, as they could not find a way to score more than 20 points in either of them. In fact, Los Angeles has scored 20 or less in three of its four losses in 2020, but that should not be an issue here.

The Cardinals do not pose the same kind of defensive challenge, as they have surrendered 28 or more in four of their last five games. That would help explain why Arizona has lost three of four since putting together a three-game winning streak.

 

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Rams' last 8 games.

LA Rams are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games.

LA Rams are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Arizona.

LA Rams are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games against Arizona.

 

 

Arizona News & Notes

The Cardinals go as quarterback Kyler Murray goes, and he has been struggling lately. Murray has thrown for less than 270 yards in each of the last three games, totaling three touchdown passes and two interceptions during that stretch.

In the last two, he has also ran the ball just 10 times combined for 46 yards, after totaling 61 or more yards on the ground in each of the previous four. He has seemed tentative and will not have an easy task now against one of the best defenses in the NFL, led by All-Pro defensive tackle Aaron Donald.

Last year, the Rams won both meetings, including the first one 34-7 as 2.5-point road favorites, also in Week 13. Murray threw for just 163 yards in that game and also tossed an interception returned for a touchdown by Los Angeles safety Taylor Rapp.

 

Arizona are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 9 games against LA Rams.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games at home.

Arizona are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Rams.

 

 

 

Philadelphia Eagles @ Green Bay Packers

8:20 PM

GB -8 (-103)

O/U 50 (-113)

 

Philadelphia is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at Green Bay.

Green Bay is 10-1 SU in its last 11 home games.

The UNDER is 5-0 in Philadelphia’s last 5 games.

 

Philadelphia News & Notes

Carson Wentz isn’t the only problem in Philadelphia. But in a quarterback-driven league, it’s difficult to ignore the struggles of a franchise quarterback. The Eagles lost their third straight game on Monday night against the Seattle Seahawks, and Wentz once again looked terrible in completing only 55.6 percent of his passes for 215 passing yards, two touchdowns and an interception.

Before picking up 58 passing yards and a touchdown in garbage time to steal a backdoor cover as 6.5-point underdogs in the 23-17 loss to Seattle, Wentz didn’t get much going on offense all game long. His 15 interceptions lead the league by a wide margin. But despite Wentz’s struggles and the team’s disappointing 3-7-1 SU and 4-7 ATS record, there has been no indication the team plans to give Jalen Hurts a shot under center.

 

Philadelphia are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games.

Philadelphia are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.

Philadelphia are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against Green Bay.

 

 

Green Bay News & Notes

Aaron Rodgers picked the Bears defense apart in last Sunday’s 41-25 win as 7.5-point favorites at home. Rodgers completed 21 of his 29 passes for 211 passing yards, four passing touchdowns and no interceptions. The veteran quarterback leads the league in touchdown passes with 33 and has thrown only four interceptions.

With the Packers rolling to their seventh NFC North title in 10 years and with Rodgers still playing at such an elite level, you have to wonder if Green Bay’s front office has any regrets in burning its first-round draft pick in 2020 on a quarterback instead of a player that could have made an impact on this year’s push for a Super Bowl.

Regardless, things are looking good in Green Bay right now with a full three-game lead in the division, an 8-3 SU record and a fairly soft schedule down the stretch.

 

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games.

Green Bay are 14-4 SU in their last 18 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Green Bay's last 9 games against Philadelphia.

Green Bay are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games at home.

 

 

 

 

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