NFL 2021 Playoffs - Wild Card Weekend (Sunday)
posted Jan 10 2021, 10:33AM
story by Risky Picks
posted in NFL, Betting

NFL Playoffs - Wild Card Sunday

*2020 NFL Season Record:

*2020 NFL Season/Playoffs Record: 

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob) 

Co Write-Up via Jordan Barnes (@JumpmanJordan on Twitter)

via Oddsmaker.com

 

 

 

Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers

1:00 PM

PIT -3.5 (-112)

O/U  54 (-110)

 

Cleveland is 3-13-1 in its last 17 games vs Pittsburgh.

Pittsburgh is 7-1 SU and 5-3 ATS at home this season.

The OVER is 3-0 in Pittsburgh’s last 3 postseason games.

 


Cleveland News & Notes

Cleveland failed to cover the spread as a 10-point favorite on Sunday against a Steelers team that was resting many of its starters. But the Browns got the win they needed by a score of 24-22 to finish with an 11-5 SU and 6-10 ATS record, snapping a playoff drought that went all the way back to 2002 and giving the team its first winning season since 2007.

Remarkably, the Browns actually finished the regular season with a point differential of -11. Every other AFC playoff team has a differential of +52 or better, and the Miami Dolphins (10-6 SU, 11-5 ATS) missed the playoffs with a +66.

Cleveland ranks 14th in the NFL in scoring offense with 25.5 points per game and 21st in scoring defense, allowing 26.2 points per game, but still grinded out 11 wins despite these lackluster rankings.

 

Cleveland are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games.

Cleveland are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games.

Cleveland are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Pittsburgh.

 


Pittsbrugh News & Notes

Pittsburgh looked awful in an 0-3 SU and ATS stretch in December in which it averaged only 16.3 points per game in three straight losses to Washington, Buffalo and Cincinnati. But over their last two games, the Steelers looked a lot better in defeating the Indianapolis Colts 28-24 and giving Cleveland a competitive game Sunday with many starters resting.

The Steelers enter the postseason with a defense that ranks third in the NFL in total defense (allowing 305.8 total yards per game) and third in scoring defense (allowing 19.5 points per game).

With a steady defense likely to keep Pittsburgh competitive in any postseason game it plays, the pressure will be on Ben Roethlisberger to produce on offense. Roethlisberger looked great against the Colts with 341 passing yards, three passing touchdowns and no interceptions; can he carry that momentum into the playoffs?

 

Pittsburgh are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.

Pittsburgh are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Pittsburgh's last 20 games against Cleveland.

Pittsburgh are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games at home.

 

 

Baltimore Ravens @ Tennessee Titans

4:25 PM

BAL -10.5 (-108)

O/U 48.5 (-108)

 

 

 

The total has gone OVER in 11 of the Titans’ last 14 games at home.

The Ravens are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in the playoffs.

The Titans are 6-22 SU in their last 28 games as home underdogs.

 

Baltimore News & Notes

The Baltimore Ravens enter the playoffs as one of the hottest teams in the league. Baltimore has scored fewer than 34 points just once in its past five games (27 points vs the Giants), winning all five in the process.

The running game in particular has been on fire. The Ravens have rushed for more than 150 yards in five straight games, going over 200 in three of those contests, including a whopping 404 yards in Week 17.

Rookie running back J.K. Dobbins has been particularly good, with touchdowns in six straight games, including two in a 160-yard performance in that Week 17 win vs Cincinnati. Look for Dobbins to be a focal point against the soft Titans defense.

Key defenders cornerback Jimmy Smith and defensive end Yannick Ngakoue are both questionable for this game.

 

Baltimore are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games.

Baltimore are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games.

Baltimore are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games against Tennessee.

Baltimore are 12-2 SU in their last 14 games on the road.

 

Tennessee News & Notes

Only the eighth player in NFL history to accomplish the feat, 2,000-yard rusher Derrick Henry enters the playoffs with no signs of slowing down. Although the Ravens ranked eighth overall in rush defense during the regular season, he has been virtually unstoppable.

Henry led the league in rush attempts, yards per game and rushing touchdowns and was fourth in yards per attempt among running backs. When these teams faced off in Week 11, he rushed 28 times for 133 yards and a walk-off touchdown in overtime.

The Titans defense has been an issue all season and is primed to allow a ton of points and yards to the hot Ravens offense. The Titans ranked 29th against the pass but 19th against the run, which in theory would help against the run-heavy Ravens. 

Star guard Rodger Saffold was injured in Week 17 and is questionable. Losing Saffold would be a big blow for the Titans offense.

 

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tennessee's last 8 games.

Tennessee are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Tennessee's last 14 games against Baltimore.

The total has gone OVER in 11 of Tennessee's last 14 games at home.

 

 

 

Chicago Bears @ New Orleans Saints

8:20 PM

PIT -6 (-113)

O/U 47.5 (-109)

 

The Saints are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games.

The Bears are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in the playoffs.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of the Saints’ last 8 home games.

 

Chicago News & Notes

If the Bears pull off the upset, it will likely be because of the play of their defense. Chicago ranked 12th in the league against the pass and 15th against the run while allowing the 10th-fewest yards per play.

However, two of Chicago’s best defenders, linebacker Roquan Smith and cornerback Jaylon Johnson, are listed as questionable for the game. Losing either would be a massive blow to a team leaning on its defense.

On offense, quarterback Mitchell Trubisky has been a low-end starter this season and shouldn’t be counted on to win the game on his own. But Trubisky’s top weapon, wide receiver Allen Robinson, does have the ability to break open a game single-handedly. Robinson led the team with 102 receptions for 1,250 yards and six touchdowns. His yardage total almost doubles the next-best on his team.

 

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games.

Chicago are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games.

Chicago are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games against New Orleans.

Chicago are 0-6 SU in their last 6 games against New Orleans.

 

New Orleans News & Notes

The big question for New Orleans is the status of its superstar weapons. Running back Alvin Kamara missed Week 17 after testing positive for COVID-19, but because this game takes place exactly 10 days after Kamara first tested positive, he would be eligible to play if he can get medical clearance this week.

Wide receiver Michael Thomas is also eligible to play as he returns from injured reserve. Thomas and quarterback Drew Brees have played just 10 quarters of football together all season, putting the success of this team into perspective considering how rarely they have been at full strength.

While the offense gets healthier, the defense continues to be the true backbone of the team. The Saints ranked fifth against the pass and fourth against the run while forcing the third-most turnovers in the league and ranking in the top five in several other key categories.

 

New Orleans are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans' last 9 games.

New Orleans are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans' last 6 games against Chicago.

 

 

 

 

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Risky Picks
Heavy interest on daring parlay bets with (straight up, spread and o/u) my beer money. Follow My picks daily to see if I achieve gambling alcoholism....





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