NFL 2021 Playoffs - Divisional Round (Saturday)
posted Jan 16 2021, 09:47AM
story by Risky Picks
posted in NFL, Betting

NFL Playoffs - Divisional Round

*2020 NFL Season Record:

*2020 NFL Season/Playoffs Record: 

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob) 

Co Write-Up via Jordan Barnes (@JumpmanJordan on Twitter)





Los Angeles Rams @ Green Bay Packers

4:35 PM

GB -6.5 (-110)

O/U  45.5 (-110)


LA is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 road games.

The OVER is 5-0 in Green Bay’s last 5 playoff games.

Green Bay is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games vs LA.


Los Angeles News & Notes

Injuries were a huge storyline going into LA’s wild-card game last weekend against Seattle, and bettors will once again have to pay close attention to the injury report this week.

This time, the big name to watch is two-time Defensive Player of the Year Aaron Donald, who left the Rams’ 30-20 win over the Seahawks with an apparent rib injury. X-rays on Donald’s ribs came back negative and head coach Sean McVay told reporters Sunday that he’s optimistic he will have his all-world defensive tackle available against the Packers.

The status of star wide receiver Cooper Kupp and quarterback John Wolford was also up in the air at the time of writing. Kupp, who missed the Rams’ regular-season finale due to COVID-19 protocol, was seen favoring his right knee late in last week’s game, while Wolford was knocked out of his second career start after taking a shoulder to the head.

Jared Goff relieved Wolford and finished the game just two weeks after undergoing surgery on the thumb of his throwing hand, completing nine of 19 passes for 155 yards in 50 minutes of action.

Given the Rams’ quarterback issues, expect LA to once again lean on its running game and league-leading defense. Cam Akers ran for 131 yards and a touchdown against the Seahawks, while the Rams defense scored a touchdown for the second consecutive week, this time on a 42-yard interception return by Darious Williams. LA allowed just 278 total yards, recorded five sacks and limited Seattle to 2-for-14 on third-down conversions.


LA Rams are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams' last 5 games.

LA Rams are 12-6 SU in their last 18 games.

LA Rams are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against Green Bay.


Green Bay News & Notes

Packers fans got a bit of a scare last week with the news that Davante Adams wasn’t participating in practice, but the superstar wideout was simply resting, according to head coach Matt LaFleur. Adams set a Packers single-season record with 115 catches this year and led the NFL in touchdown receptions despite missing 2.5 games due to a hamstring injury.

His quarterback also enjoyed a career season, and that’s saying something when you’re talking about Aaron Rodgers. Rodgers’ 48 touchdown passes were eight more than any other quarterback in the NFL, and he’s emerged as the favorite to win league MVP after finishing the campaign first in completion percentage, total quarterback rating and passer rating.

As good as Rodgers and Adams have been this year, Packers backers might be even more excited about the improvement of their defense. Green Bay held four of its last five opponents to 16 points or less and finished the season ninth in total yards allowed and seventh against the pass.

Take those recent numbers with a grain of salt, however. Green Bay’s final five opponents were the Bears, Titans, Panthers, Lions and Eagles.


Green Bay are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.

Green Bay are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games.

Green Bay are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Rams.



Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills

8:15 PM

BUF -2.5 (-110)

O/U 49.5 (-110)




The Bills are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games.

The Ravens are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog.

The Ravens are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games.


Baltimore News & Notes

With the he-can’t-win-a-playoff-game narrative finally behind him, Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson enters the divisional round on a roll. Jackson’s dual-threat ability was on full display in Sunday’s win over Tennessee when he posted a season-high 136 rushing yards. The Ravens have now won six straight games, rushing for more than 230 total yards in five of those six.

Ravens tight end Mark Andrews could be in for a big day against a Bills team that gave up 14 receptions for 136 yards and a touchdown to Colts tight ends in the wild-card round. Look for Andrews to be the top target for Jackson with receiver Marquise Brown covered by Bills’ Pro Bowl cornerback Tre’Davious White.

On defense, the Ravens have allowed 14 points or less in four straight games and fewer than 20 points in six of their last seven. The Ravens got cornerback Jimmy Smith and edge rusher Yannick Ngakoue back for the wild-card round and should be at full strength for this matchup.


Baltimore are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games.

Baltimore are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games.

Baltimore are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games against Buffalo.

Baltimore are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against Buffalo.


Buffalo News & Notes

Only two teams allowed more rushing touchdowns to quarterbacks than the Buffalo Bills, whose main focus will be stopping the Ravens’ powerful running game. The Bills gave up 4.6 yards per rushing attempt this season, eighth-worst in the league, and had the 17th-ranked rush defense overall.

They ranked 13th against the pass and were tied for third in the league in turnovers forced.

Maybe the biggest matchup of the game will be Bills star receiver Stefon Diggs against top Ravens cornerback Marlon Humphrey. Diggs led the league in receptions (127) and yards (1,535) with eight touchdowns along the way.

However, with Diggs covered by Humphrey, look for other Bills pass catchers to potentially shoulder the load in this game. Cole Beasley had a career year, posting 82 receptions for 967 yards (23rd in the league) and four touchdowns. Look for Beasley to be targeted heavily Saturday.

Bills rookie running back Zach Moss was carted off in their wild-card game after an ankle injury and is expected to miss some time. Look for Devin Singletary to take on a bigger role in Moss’ absence.


Buffalo are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games.

The total has gone OVER in 12 of Buffalo's last 17 games.

Buffalo are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Buffalo's last 9 games against Baltimore.





















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