NFL 2021 Week 6 Writeup
posted Oct 17 2021, 09:47AM
story by Risky Picks
posted in NFL, Betting



NFL Football - Week 6


October 17, 2021


*2021 NFL Season Record:

*2021 NFL Season/Playoffs Record:

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob)

Co Write-Up via Jordan Barnes (@JumpmanJordan on Twitter)





Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears

1:00 PM

GB -6 (-108)

O/U  44 (-107)



Green Bay is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games.

The UNDER is 16-5 in Chicago’s last 21 home games.

Green Bay is 10-1 SU and 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games in Chicago.



Packers News & Notes

Although the Packers are 4-1 SU and ATS through five games, nothing has come easy lately. They were tied or trailing in the final seconds of two of their last three victories, including last week’s dramatic 25-22 overtime win in Cincinnati. Kicker Mason Crosby clinched the victory with a 51-yard field goal after missing his previous three attempts.

A big reason the Packers don’t have much margin for error these days is their rash of injuries. Green Bay was without two key members of its offensive line, Elgton Jenkins and Josh Myers, against the Bengals, while wideout Marquez Valdes-Scantling also missed his second straight game. The Packers also remain without a pair of Pro Bowlers on defense, linebacker Za’Darius Smith and cornerback Zaire Alexander.

One thing Green Bay still does have, however, is the all-world connection of Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams. Adams had a career-high 206 yards on 11 catches against the Bengals, the third time in his last four outings that he’s had at least 120 receiving yards. Rodgers finished the game with a season-high 344 passing yards and has tossed 10 touchdowns and just one interception in his last four games.


Green Bay are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Green Bay's last 9 games.

Green Bay are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games.

Green Bay are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Chicago.



Bears News & Notes

Justin Fields isn’t exactly lighting up the skies as the Bears’ starting quarterback, but he doesn’t have to if the defense keeps playing like this. Chicago has allowed an average of 16.5 points per game in its last four outings, leads the NFL with 15 sacks and has held four of its five opponents under 100 rushing yards. The Bears defense is typically at its best when playing at Soldier Field, where Chicago has gone UNDER in 16 of its last 21 games.

Chicago’s defensive prowess has allowed the team to stay conservative on offense until Fields gets more comfortable. The prized rookie threw for just 111 yards in Chicago’s 20-9 win last week in Las Vegas, when the Bears’ longest pass play was a short throw that running back Damien Williams turned into an 18-yard gain.

Williams and Khalil Herbert combined to run for 139 yards in place of star back David Montgomery, who is on injured reserve with a sprained knee.


The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 10 of Chicago's last 15 games against Green Bay.

The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Chicago's last 20 games at home.

Chicago are 1-10 SU in their last 11 games when playing at home against Green Bay.





Arizona Cardinals @ Cleveland Browns

4:25 PM

CLE -3 (-123)

O/U 48.5 (-105)



Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games vs sub-.500 teams.

Cleveland is 1-3 ATS in its last 4 home games.

The UNDER is 5-2 in Arizona’s last 7 vs sub-.500 teams.



Cardinals News & Notes

The Arizona Cardinals are the real deal. They’ve blown away opponents in four of their five games, including the now 4-1 Rams and 3-2 Titans, and have responded admirably to one of the most daunting schedules in the league.

Kyler Murray continues to be the team’s on-field leader. Although he failed to earn significant yardage on the ground last time out, he has not thrown an interception in two straight games. Eliminating interceptions is a sign of maturity for Murray, who threw four in his first three games.

Although all eyes seem to be on Arizona’s offense, the defense has been a pleasant surprise this season. They are ranked as one of the top units in the league, allowing the fourth-lowest conversion rate on third downs (31.58%).


Arizona are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games.

Arizona are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games.

Arizona are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games against Cleveland.



Browns News & Notes

If Week 5 proved anything, it was how valuable Jadeveon Clowney is to this squad. The pass rush truly missed his presence as the Browns gave up a whopping 47 points to the Chargers after holding the Bears and Vikings to six and seven points respectively. It remains to be seen if he’ll be available for this matchup.

Having him in the lineup would be a huge boost given the fact that Kyler Murray can produce the same results as Justin Herbert.

Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt continue to be the best running back tandem in the league. But Baker Mayfield clearly lacks a star receiver, which has been evident in his performances. Four passing touchdowns in five games is certainly a poor return.

However, Mayfield is fresh off his best game of the season and must ride that confidence as he takes on an impressive Arizona defense.


The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games against Arizona.

Cleveland are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home.

Cleveland are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.

Cleveland are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference West division.






Seattle Seahawks @ Pittsburgh Steelers

8:20 PM

PIT -5 (-108)

O/U 43 (-108)



Seattle is 34-10-1 SU in its last 45 prime-time games.

Pittsburgh is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 SNF games.

Seattle is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games as an underdog.



Seahawks News & Notes

Seattle is undoubtedly a much different offensive team with Smith under center, just like the Tampa Bay Buccaneers would be without Tom Brady or the Green Bay Packers without Aaron Rodgers. But just because the team’s identity has changed offensively does not mean the Seahawks cannot win games.

Sure, the defense will be counted on more heavily to make plays, and Smith cannot afford to turn the ball over. However, the Steelers remain a very beatable opponent no matter how they performed last week in beating the Denver Broncos. Prior to that, they had lost three straight by nine points or more.


Seattle are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games.

Seattle are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games.

Seattle are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games against Pittsburgh.



Steelers News & Notes

Pittsburgh definitely has something to build on now that the team got back on track vs Denver and ended its skid. The problem for the Steelers is that they are still flawed and are without one of their top receivers in Smith-Schuster. The good news is that they have been here before and still have a couple of talented players on the roster in Diontae Johnson and Chase Claypool, who leads them with 341 receiving yards.

In addition, rookie running back Najee Harris continues to get better every game following a career-high 122 rushing yards on 23 carries and one touchdown against the Broncos. The advantage Pittsburgh has is head coach Mike Tomlin, who has a history of helping players overcome poor starts.


Pittsburgh are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games.

Pittsburgh are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games against Seattle.











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