NFL 2021 Week 7 Writeup
posted Oct 24 2021, 08:06AM
story by Risky Picks
posted in NFL, Betting


NFL Football - Week 7


October 24, 2021


*2021 NFL Season Record:

*2021 NFL Season/Playoffs Record:

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob)

Co Write-Up via Jordan Barnes (@JumpmanJordan on Twitter)






Kansas City Chiefs @ Tennessee Titans

1:00 PM

KC -4 (-111)

O/U  57.5 (-108)



Kansas City is 3-13-1 ATS in its last 17 games.

Tennessee is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 October games.

The OVER is 4-1 in Tennessee’s last 5 games.



Chiefs News & Notes

Turnovers were still an issue for the Chiefs last Sunday against the Washington Football Team as Patrick Mahomes threw two interceptions and the team had three fumbles (with one lost).

But the defense stepped up with a dominant effort and Mahomes finished the day going 32-for-47 with 397 passing yards and two passing touchdowns in a 31-13 blowout win on the road.

The win was just what the Chiefs needed after a 38-20 blowout loss at home to the Buffalo Bills the previous week. Kansas City’s defense had allowed 437.4 total yards and 32.6 points per game over a 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS stretch before holding Washington to only 276 yards and 13 points. Chiefs fans and bettors would love to see a lot more performances like this one moving forward.


Kansas City are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games.

Kansas City are 15-5 SU in their last 20 games.

Kansas City are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Tennessee.



Titans News & Notes

Speaking of strong defensive performances, the Titans defense came up with some timely stops on Monday night to secure their upset over the Buffalo Bills.

Instead of attempting a field goal that would have tied the game, Buffalo called a quarterback sneak on fourth down at the Tennessee three-yard line. Tennessee stuffed the attempt to come away with the outright win as a 6-point underdog, improving to 4-1 SU and ATS over its last five games.

Derrick Henry rushed for 143 yards and three touchdowns on 20 carries in the win. Henry rushed for 1,540 yards and 16 touchdowns in 2019, 2,027 yards and 17 touchdowns in 2020 and is now on pace for 2,218 rushing yards and 28 rushing touchdowns in 2021 with an extra regular-season game to work with.


Tennessee are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games.

Tennessee are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tennessee's last 10 games against Kansas City.




Chicago Bears @ Tampa Buccaneers

4:25 PM

TB -12 (-104)

O/U 47 (-103)



Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 home games.

Chicago is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games as an underdog.

The OVER is 10-3 in Tampa Bay’s last 13 as a home fave



Bears News & Notes

Despite a poor showing against Green Bay, there is plenty of time for the Bears to turn things around with the team just one win away from a positive record.

Fans are still waiting for things to click for Fields, and this team could be dangerous if the young quarterback finds his groove. Unfortunately, injury issues have kept him from having all of his weapons in the lineup.

David Montgomery remains on injured reserve and will miss at least two more games, but Damien Williams should be returning after missing action last week due to a positive COVID-19 test.

The Bears are still one of the best defensive units in the league, though they’ve struggled against explosive offenses. Tom Brady and company will prove to be a lot to handle.


The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games.

Chicago are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against Tampa Bay.

Chicago are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against Tampa Bay.

Chicago are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games on the road.



Bucs News & Notes

Tampa Bay’s pass rush is great at pressuring quarterbacks and will likely feast on an inexperienced Fields. The play of the Bucs defense also provides Brady ample opportunities to score.

Brady is an expert at engineering long drives that eat up the clock, and the opposing team’s chances of victory are slim when he has too much possession time.

Over the past three weeks, the Buccaneers have looked like a more complete team on offense. They’ve managed to involve Leonard Fournette on a regular basis, which adds another dynamic to their potent offense.


Tampa Bay are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games.

Tampa Bay are 13-1 SU in their last 14 games.

Tampa Bay are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games at home.






Indianapolis Colts @ San Francisco 49ers

8:20 PM

SF -3.5 (-108)

O/U 42 (-103)



Indianapolis is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 road games.

SF is 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS in its last 6 home games.

Indianapolis is 2-6 SU in its last 8 SNF games.



Colts News & Notes

The Indianapolis offense got a much-needed confidence boost against Houston, with quarterback Carson Wentz completing 11 of 20 passes for 223 yards and two touchdowns with no interceptions and running back Jonathan Taylor rushing for 145 yards on 14 carries – including an 83-yarder – and scoring twice.

It definitely helped to have wide receiver T.Y. Hilton (four catches for 80 yards) back on the field for the first time this year, although he left in the second half with a quad injury. That could just be precautionary due to the nature of the blowout victory, and he will be needed again in this matchup at San Francisco.

The defense also responded well on a short week after giving up a 22-3 lead in a 31-25 loss to the Baltimore Ravens the previous Monday night.


  • Indianapolis are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • Indianapolis are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.
  • Indianapolis are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against San Francisco.
  • Indianapolis are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against San Francisco.



49ers News & Notes

This has become a must-win game for the 49ers, and they should be healthier than they were going into the bye. That said, key players such as tight end George Kittle (calf) and kicker Robbie Gould (groin) still reside on injured reserve, so those areas could continue to be weaknesses for the team.

This is a very big game and opportunity for whoever lines up under center as well, with a good performance likely setting the table for one or the other to become the starter over the long term.

The biggest advantage Lance has is his ability to run (89 yards vs the Cardinals on 16 carries), so San Francisco may be even more cautious in bringing him back. In other words, Garoppolo’s future could depend on how he does here.


  • San Francisco are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • San Francisco are 4-10 SU in their last 14 games.
  • San Francisco are 0-6 SU in their last 6 games at home.
  • San Francisco are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis.











*Twitter Access For IBN Cappers*

*Email* Incarceratedbob2@Gmail.Com 

Get membership info ' all picks (All Sports) emailed daily.



Follow Incarcerated Bob's **Fantasy Advice Account**



Risky Picks
Heavy interest on daring parlay bets with (straight up, spread and o/u) my beer money. Follow My picks daily to see if I achieve gambling alcoholism....

Recent IBN Stories