NFL 2021 Week 11 Writeup
posted Nov 21 2021, 09:00AM
story by Risky Picks
posted in NFL, Betting

NFL Football - Week 11


November 21, 2021


*2021 NFL Season Record:

*2021 NFL Season/Playoffs Record:

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob)

Co Write-Up via Jordan Barnes (@JumpmanJordan on Twitter)






Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings

1:00 PM

PK -2 (-112)

O/U 47 (-118)



Green Bay is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games vs NFC teams.

Minnesota is 1-7 ATS over its last 8 home games.

The UNDER is 7-0 in Green Bay’s last 7 games.


Packers News & Notes

Aaron Rodgers returned to action last Sunday in Green Bay’s 17-0 win over the Seattle Seahawks. Rodgers didn’t have his best day statistically as he went 23-for-37 with 292 passing yards, an interception and no touchdowns, but that was enough on a day that the Packers defense dominated the game. Green Bay allowed the Seahawks only 208 total yards and also recorded two interceptions in the shutout win.

The Packers rank third in the NFL in total defense, allowing 309.9 total yards per game, and third in scoring defense, allowing only 18 points per game. With an elite defense to pair with Aaron Rodgers at quarterback, the sky is the limit for this Packers squad. Green Bay is 15-3 SU and 14-4 ATS over its last 18 games.



Green Bay are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Green Bay's last 7 games.

Green Bay are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games.

Green Bay are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games against Minnesota.



Vikings News & Notes

Kirk Cousins went 25-for-37 with 294 passing yards, two touchdown passes and no interceptions and Dalvin Cook had 94 rushing yards and a score in last Sunday’s 27-20 road upset over the Los Angeles Chargers. The Vikings’ last six games have all been decided by a touchdown or less; Minnesota is 3-3 SU and ATS over that stretch.

At 4-5 SU and 5-4 ATS, the Vikings are still in the pack of wild-card hopefuls in the NFC. Their next two games, at home against the Packers and on the road against the San Francisco 49ers, could go a long way in determining their fate in that race. The Vikings are 1-3 SU and ATS over their last four games against Green Bay.


Minnesota are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Minnesota's last 13 games against Green Bay.

Minnesota are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games at home.





Dallas Cowboys @ Kansas City Chiefs


4:25 PM

KC -2.5 (-112)

O/U 56 (-114)



Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 road games.

Kansas City is 4-15-1 ATS in its last 20 games.

The UNDER is 5-2 in Kansas City’s last 7 vs Dallas.


Cowboys News & Notes

Dak Prescott bounced back from one of the worst performances of his career against the Denver Broncos with a rock-solid one in last Sunday’s 43-3 blowout win over the Atlanta Falcons.

Prescott went 24-for-31 for 296 passing yards and two touchdown passes in a game the Cowboys led 36-3 at halftime. The Cowboys quarterback has 2,341 passing yards, 20 touchdown passes and only five interceptions this season and would appear to be a shoo-in for this year’s NFL Comeback Player of the Year honors.

More importantly, the Cowboys have already opened up a three-game lead over the rest of the NFC East with their 7-2 SU and 8-1 ATS record. Dallas is flying under the radar a bit this season with so many other contenders in the NFC, but this is a very complete squad with the second-best point differential (+89) in the conference.


Dallas are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games.

Dallas are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games.

Dallas are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against Kansas City.

Dallas are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on the road.



Chiefs News & Notes

The Chiefs entered their Sunday Night Football matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders last Sunday having won each of their previous two games but not really impressing too many people with those performances.

Sunday’s 41-14 win on the road against the Raiders snapped an 0-3 ATS losing streak and gave us a vintage Patrick Mahomes performance. Mahomes went 35-for-50 with 406 passing yards, five touchdown passes and no turnovers.

This also marked the third straight strong performance by Kansas City’s defense, which has suddenly allowed only 12.7 points per game over the team’s three-game winning streak after allowing 29 points per game through its first seven. This unit will now face a Cowboys team that ranks best in the NFL in both total offense (433.9 total yards per game) and scoring (31.6 points per game).


Kansas City are 4-15-1 ATS in their last 20 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games.

Kansas City are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games against Dallas.





Pittsburgh Steelers @ Los Angeles Chargers


8:20 PM

LAC -6 (-103)

O/U 47 (-119)



Pittsburgh is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games vs LA.

Los Angeles is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games.

The UNDER is 6-2 in Pittsburgh’s last 8 road games.


Steelers News & Notes

The Steelers were on a nice roll with a 4-0 SU record over their previous four games heading into Sunday’s matchup against the Detroit Lions. Pittsburgh eventually closed as a 6-point favorite when Ben Roethlisberger was ruled out after contracting COVID-19, but the Steelers couldn’t get the job done at home in a 16-16 tie against the lowly Lions. Mason Rudolph went 30-for-50 with 242 passing yards, one touchdown and one interception in the draw.

Roethlisberger would be eligible to return if he is able to produce two negative COVID-19 tests before game time. In the meantime, the Steelers are preparing as though Rudolph will be starting again.

Pittsburgh is expected to be without Minkah Fitzpatrick on Sunday as the free safety has also tested positive for COVID-19. T.J. Watt is listed as questionable with hip and knee injuries sustained against Detroit.


Pittsburgh are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games.

Pittsburgh are 4-0-1 SU in their last 5 games.

Pittsburgh are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games against LA Chargers.



Chargers News & Notes

The Chargers couldn’t get the job done as 3.5-point favorites at home in last Sunday’s 27-20 loss to the Minnesota Vikings. Justin Herbert was held to only 195 passing yards with one touchdown and one interception in the loss.

Herbert has averaged only 242.3 passing yards per game with a 6-to-5 touchdown-to-interception ratio during Los Angeles’s 1-3 SU and ATS slump. He averaged 315.2 passing yards with a 13-to-3 TD-to-INT ratio across the team’s 4-1 SU and ATS start to the season.

Los Angeles has lost its grasp on the top spot in the AFC West with a 5-4 SU record as the Kansas City Chiefs have jumped ahead with a 6-4 mark. The Chargers will try to keep pace with a victory Sunday against the injury-riddled Steelers.


LA Chargers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 10 of LA Chargers' last 15 games.

LA Chargers are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Chargers' last 6 games against Pittsburgh.












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