NFL 2021 Week 12 Writeup
posted Nov 28 2021, 10:36AM
story by Risky Picks
posted in NFL, Betting



NFL Football - Week 12


November 28, 2021


*2021 NFL Season Record:

*2021 NFL Season/Playoffs Record:

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob)

Co Write-Up via Jordan Barnes (@JumpmanJordan on Twitter)






Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Giants

1:00 PM

PHI -3.5 (-113)

O/U 45.5 (-108)



Philadelphia is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 road games.

New York is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 vs NFC East teams.

The UNDER is 8-1 in New York’s last 9 home games.


Eagles News & Notes

Jalen Hurts had only 147 passing yards on a 13-for-24 day throwing the ball against the New Orleans Saints. Hurts did his damage on the ground, rushing for 69 yards and three touchdowns in Philadelphia’s 40-29 victory over the Saints. The Eagles improved to 3-1 SU and ATS over their last four games with the victory and have scored an impressive 34.5 points per game over that stretch.

Hurts and the Eagles are making things work on offense with an elite rushing attack that ranks second-best in the NFL by averaging 153.4 rushing yards per game. The second-year quarterback is leading the way with 618 rushing yards and eight touchdowns on 114 attempts. Hurts and Lamar Jackson (639 yards) are the only two quarterbacks in the NFL with more than 340 rushing yards this season.


Philadelphia are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games.

Philadelphia are 6-13 SU in their last 19 games.

Philadelphia are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against NY Giants.




Giants News & Notes

The Giants decided to fire offensive coordinator Jason Garrett after a disastrous 30-10 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Monday night. Freddie Kitchens will take over play-calling duties and will try to get something out of Daniel Jones, who went 23-for-38 with one touchdown pass and two interceptions against the Buccaneers. Jones has recorded 2,226 passing yards, nine touchdown passes and seven interceptions in 10 starts this season.

The last seven games of the regular season could be the last chance for head coach Joe Judge and Jones to save their jobs. Judge has compiled an underwhelming 9-17 SU record as head coach to date and Jones has not looked the part of a franchise quarterback. Things don’t get much easier this week facing an Eagles pass defense that ranks 12th in the NFL in allowing 231.5 passing yards per game.


The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants' last 5 games.

NY Giants are 4-10 SU in their last 14 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants' last 5 games against Philadelphia.

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Giants' last 9 games at home.





Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati Bengals


4:25 PM

CIN -3.5 (-108)

O/U 43.5 (-108)



Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 road games.

The OVER is 5-2 in Cincinnati's last 7 as a home favorite.

Cincinnati is 0-3 ATS in its last 3 home games.


Steelers News & Notes

The result of this matchup is likely going to come down to how healthy the Steelers can get before Sunday. The absence of TJ Watt hurt against the Chargers, and with the Bengals at times looking like they can score at will, it’s going to take a solid defensive performance from the Steelers if they want a shot at victory.

The Steelers will need to pressure Joe Burrow early and often, a strategy that would receive a boost if Watt can recover.

Running back Najee Harris has seized his opportunity to lead this team and his impact has been significant. If the Steelers can get him to 20-plus attempts, they should benefit from some big production.


Pittsburgh are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games.

Pittsburgh are 4-1-1 SU in their last 6 games.

Pittsburgh are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games against Cincinnati.

Pittsburgh are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on the road.



Bengals News & Notes

After his worst performance of the season, Joe Burrow followed up with a slightly better but still underwhelming showing against the Las Vegas Raiders in a 32-13 triumph.

Burrow has struggled at times with turnovers, and giving his defense extra work isn’t the best idea, especially in the tight games Cincinnati often takes part in.

Of course, an unproductive day for Burrow means the same for rookie receiver Ja’Marr Chase. They still connected for the Bengals’ only passing touchdown of the game vs Las Vegas. Joe Mixon took care of the rest, rushing for 123 yards and two scores.


The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 9 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games against Pittsburgh.

Cincinnati are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games at home.

Cincinnati are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh.





Los Angeles Rams @ Green Bay Packers


4:25 PM

LAR -2 (-113)

O/U 46.5 (-113)



Los Angeles is 2-5 ATS over its last 7 games.

Green Bay is 10-1 SU in its last 11 home games.

The UNDER is 7-1 in Green Bay’s last 8 games.


Rams News & Notes

The Rams established themselves as a legitimate Super Bowl contender over the first half of the season with a 7-1 SU and 4-4 ATS start in which they averaged 30.6 points per game on offense.

That offense has suddenly hit a rut as Los Angeles has averaged only 13 points per game in back-to-back losses of 28-16 to the Tennessee Titans and 31-10 to the San Francisco 49ers. 

Matthew Stafford has averaged 268.5 passing yards in those two losses with two touchdown passes and four interceptions after averaging 309.7 passing yards to go along with 22 touchdown passes and just four picks over the first eight games of 2021.

To make matters worse, the Rams lost wide receiver Robert Woods for the season to a torn ACL during practice prior to the 49ers game. Los Angeles is suddenly counting on Odell Beckham Jr. to give the team a legitimate second threat behind Cooper Kupp.


LA Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams' last 6 games.

LA Rams are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games.

LA Rams are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games against Green Bay.



Packers News & Notes

Green Bay’s impressive 8-1 SU and 9-0 ATS run came to an end on Sunday as the Packers lost to the Minnesota Vikings 34-31 on the road. This was a rare misstep for a Packers defense that had allowed 22 points or less in each of the team’s previous seven games. Aaron Rodgers went 23-for-33 for 385 passing yards and four touchdowns with no interceptions, but the Packers still came up short.

AJ Dillon took over the starting running back duties on Sunday with Aaron Jones sidelined due to a knee injury. Dillon had 11 rushes for 53 yards and six catches for 44 yards in the loss. The second-year back will be in the starting role again this Sunday with Jones expected to miss at least a few weeks with his sprained MCL.


Green Bay are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games.


The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Green Bay's last 8 games.

Green Bay are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games.

Green Bay are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games at home.


















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