NFL 2021 Week 17 Writeup
posted Jan 02 2022, 10:38AM
story by Risky Picks
posted in NFL, Betting

 

 

NFL Football - Week 17

 

January 2, 2021

 

*2021 NFL Season Record:

*2021 NFL Season/Playoffs Record:

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob)

Co Write-Up via Jordan Barnes (@JumpmanJordan on Twitter)

via Oddsmaker.com

 

 

 

 

Kansas City Chiefs @ Cincinnati Bengals

 

4:25 PM

KC -3.5 (-109)

O/U 41 (-106)

 

 

 

Kansas City is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games

Cincinnati is 2-12 SU in its last 14 January games

The UNDER is 9-2 in the past 11 meetings

 

 

Chiefs News & Notes

 

If fellow quarterback Aaron Rodgers of the Green Bay Packers was not on a late-season tear for the second year in a row, more people would be talking about Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes for NFL MVP honors.

Despite throwing a career-high 13 interceptions, Mahomes has regained his MVP form with only three of those picks coming in the past seven games. He completed 23 of 30 passes for 258 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions against the Steelers without Kelce and with All-Pro wide receiver Tyreek Hill contributing just two catches for 19 yards after clearing COVID-19 protocols.

That is a credit to Mahomes, and he will now be without second-year running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire, who suffered a shoulder injury that could keep him out the last two games.

 

 

Kansas City are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games.

Kansas City are 8-0 SU in their last 8 games.

Kansas City are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against Cincinnati

.

Bengals News & Notes

 

It is a two-horse race for NFL Comeback Player of the Year between Dak Prescott of the Dallas Cowboys and Burrow, who has better numbers across the board except for interceptions but has also played one more game.

Burrow’s 105 passer rating is second only to Rodgers (110.8) among regular starting quarterbacks as well, so he could end up stealing the award from Prescott with a strong finish. That said, Burrow is the consummate team player and remains more focused on leading Cincinnati to its first division title since 2015 and first playoff victory since 1990.

He would accomplish one of those goals with an upset win here and serve notice to the rest of the AFC that the Bengals are legit contenders. They finish the regular season by visiting the Cleveland Browns in Week 18.

 

 

 

Cincinnati are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 9 games.

Cincinnati are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cincinnati's last 11 games against Kansas City.

 

 

 

 

 

Houston Texans @ San Francisco 49ers

 

4:25 PM

SF -14 (-103)

O/U 44.5 (-108)

 

 

 

Houston is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games.

San Francisco is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.

The UNDER is 5-1 in Houston’s last 6 games.

 

 

Texans News & Notes

 

After struggling to put together any semblance of offense in the first part of the schedule, the Texans have finally found their groove. They are fresh off a 41-29 win over the playoff hopeful Chargers and have scored 30 or more points in back-to-back games for the first time all season.

Houston has not only won two in a row but has covered two games in a row against the spread. Moreover, the total has gone OVER in the Texans’ last three games, delivering consistent value on a usually low number behind the play of rookie quarterback Davis Mills.

Mills went 21-for-27 for 254 yards and two touchdowns in the upset vs Los Angeles while Rex Burkhead rushed for 149 yards on 22 carries. 

 

 

 

Houston are 4-16 SU in their last 20 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games on the road.

Houston are 3-11 SU in their last 14 games this season.

Houston are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.

 

 

 

49ers News & Notes

 

The 49ers started 2-0, only to lose four straight games. Since then, they have compiled a 6-3 record in their last nine games, delivering on the potential most people thought they had coming into the season.

The total has gone UNDER in San Francisco’s last three games, which all had totals coming in below 50. The Niners have covered two of their last three games against the spread.

The big news, though, is the potential start of Trey Lance if Jimmy Garoppolo’s thumb injury suffered against the Titans keeps him out. Lance, the third overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, has made one start and seen action in five games, completing 25 of 48 pass attempts for 354 yards and carrying the ball 30 times for 137 yards.

 

 

San Francisco are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games.

San Francisco are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games.

San Francisco are 4-11 SU in their last 15 games at home.

 

 

 

 

Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys

 

4:25 PM

DAL -6.5 (-113)

O/U 52 (-108)

 

 

The UNDER in 7-2 in Dallas’ last 9 games

Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games vs Dallas

Dallas is 9-0 SU in its last 9 games vs the NFC

 

Cardinals News & Notes

 

The Cardinals have been outscored 82-51 during their current three-game losing streak, prompting quarterback Kyler Murray to say the team is playing some “bad football.” 

Mental mistakes and penalties have cost them during this skid. They took 11 penalties for 85 yards in a six-point loss to Indianapolis on Saturday after previously averaging just 5.4 penalties for 50 yards per game. It also didn’t help that kicker Matt Prater missed a pair of field goals and an extra point, which would have made a huge difference. 

If you started to bet against the Cardinals following their 7-0 start, you would be making money as they have since lost five of eight games. They are now looking up at the Los Angeles Rams in the NFC West and no longer control their own destiny to win the division.

Running back James Conner, who missed the game against the Colts with a heel injury, could give the team a boost if he is active for this one. He leads Arizona with 700 rushing yards this season.

 

 

Arizona are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.

Arizona are 10-5 SU in their last 15 games.

Arizona are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Dallas.

Arizona are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against Dallas.

 

 

 

Cowboys News & Notes

The top offense in the league is coming off one of its most dominant performances of the season. The Cowboys tied a franchise record with 42 first-half points in their 56-14 thumping of rival Washington. It’s the most points the team has scored in a game since 1980. It also marked the largest margin of victory in the storied rivalry between the two teams (124 games).  

Quarterback Dak Prescott has this team humming offensively. The Cowboys rank first in points per game (30.5) and yards per game (409.5). They are third, behind only Tampa Bay and Kansas City, in passing yards per game (282.7).  

Their defense isn’t too shabby either. Dallas leads the league with 33 takeaways and cornerback Trevon Diggs is tops in the NFL with 11 interceptions. 

 

 

Dallas are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas' last 9 games.

Dallas are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas' last 12 games against Arizona.

 

 

 

 

 

 

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