NFL 2022 Super Wild Card Sunday Writeup
posted Jan 16 2022, 09:13AM
story by Risky Picks
posted in NFL, Betting

NFL Football - Super Wild Card Sunday

January 16, 2022

 

*2021 NFL Season Record:

*2021 NFL Season/Playoffs Record:

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Co Write-Up via Jordan Barnes (@JumpmanJordan on Twitter)

via Oddsmaker.com

 

 

 

 

Philadelphia Eagles @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

1:00 PM

TB -7.5 (-102)

O/U 46 (-113)

 

 

 

Philadelphia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.

Tampa Bay is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 vs the NFC East.

The OVER is 4-1 in Philadelphia’s last 5 games.

 

 

 

Eagles News & Notes

The Eagles’ preseason win total was set at 6.5 wins in what was supposed to be a rebuilding year in Philadelphia. The team exceeded expectations with a 9-8 SU and 8-8-1 ATS campaign, clinching a playoff spot with a 20-16 win on the road over the Washington Football Team in Week 17. Prior to their 51-26 loss to the Dallas Cowboys in a meaningless contest with their starters resting last Saturday, the Eagles were 6-1 SU and 4-2-1 ATS over their previous seven games.

Jalen Hurts rushed for 44 yards and two touchdowns on 10 carries in Philadelphia’s 28-22 loss to the Buccaneers earlier this season in Philadelphia. Hurts went just 12-for-26 for 115 passing yards with one touchdown pass and one interception in that game. Over his last three starts, Hurts has led the Eagles to a 3-0 SU record and 27 points per game with 236.3 passing yards per game.

 

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games

Philadelphia are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games

Philadelphia are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games against Tampa Bay

Philadelphia are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games against Tampa Bay

 

 

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Buccaneers News & Notes

Despite a long list of injuries on offense and defense, the Buccaneers still managed to compile an impressive 13-4 SU and 9-8 ATS record during the 2021 regular season. Tom Brady went 29-for-37 with 326 passing yards, three touchdown passes and no interceptions in Tampa Bay’s 41-17 win over the Carolina Panthers last Sunday. Brady has shown no signs of slowing down at 44 years old with an NFL-best 5,316 passing yards and 43 passing touchdowns this year.

Tampa Bay wrapped up the regular season on a 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS run. The Buccaneers averaged 29 points per game over that stretch while allowing only 17.6 points. All systems appear to be a go for another deep playoff run for Brady and the defending champions, and Tampa Bay should be a popular choice among Buccaneers vs Eagles predictions.

 

Tampa Bay are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games

Tampa Bay are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games against Philadelphia

Tampa Bay are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games at home

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

San Francisco 49ers @ Dallas Cowboys

4:25 PM

DAL -3 (-121)

O/U 51 (-112)

 

 

San Francisco is 7-3 SU in its last 10 road games.

Dallas is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games vs NFC teams.

The OVER is 8-2 in Dallas’ last 10 games vs San Francisco.

 

 

49ers News & Notes

At 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS with a slew of injuries on defense and to the running back corps, the 49ers weren’t looking much like a playoff team. But San Francisco managed to successfully turn its season around with an 8-3 SU and ATS run over its last 11 games. That run was capped off by a 27-24 overtime win over the Rams last Sunday that allowed the 49ers to secure this playoff spot.

The win over Los Angeles was an impressive one that saw the 49ers erase an early 17-0 hole en route to victory. Jimmy Garoppolo finished the day with 316 passing yards, one passing touchdown and two interceptions while completing 23 of his 32 pass attempts. For whatever plan the 49ers had when they traded up to draft Trey Lance this offseason, this is very much Garoppolo’s team heading into the postseason.

 

San Francisco are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games.

San Francisco are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

San Francisco are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Dallas.

 

 

 

Cowboys News & Notes

The Cowboys wrapped up a 5-1 SU and ATS run to end the regular season in emphatic fashion on Sunday, crushing the Philadelphia Eagles 51-26 as 6-point favorites. Dak Prescott went 21-for-27 with 295 passing yards and five passing touchdowns in the win while Ezekiel Elliott rushed for 87 of the team’s 171 rushing yards. This marked the second time in Dallas’ last three games that the team has scored over 50 points.

Despite their dominant 12-5 SU and 13-4 ATS campaign, the Cowboys still aren’t the clear choice among many bettors’ and fans’ 49ers vs Cowboys predictions. This may be due to the fact that many of the team’s wins this year have come against weak opponents. Prescott and the Cowboys will have the chance to prove they are the real deal with a win and cover this Sunday.

 

Dallas are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas' last 11 games.

Dallas are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 8 of Dallas' last 10 games against San Francisco.

 

 

 

 

 

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Kansas City Chiefs

8:15 PM

KC -11.5 (-110)

O/U 46.5 (-113)

 

 

Kansas City is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games.

Pittsburgh is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 prime-time games.

The UNDER is 4-1 in the past 5 meetings at Kansas City.

 

 

Steelers News & Notes

 

The Steelers obviously are a much different team with sacks leader T.J. Watt on the field, and they proved it again last Sunday in a 16-13 overtime victory against the Baltimore Ravens.

Watt tied Michael Strahan’s NFL single-season sacks record with one vs the Ravens, bringing his total to 22.5, also making it five in the past two games. He will be the most important player on the field besides Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes, who was barely pressured in the last meeting.

Pittsburgh has held opponents below 20 points in each of its last four wins, with the team going a perfect 4-0 ATS in those games and the UNDER cashing each time. That will be the goal in hopes of springing an upset.

 

 

 

Pittsburgh are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games.

Pittsburgh are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.

Pittsburgh are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games against Kansas City.

 

 

 

Chiefs News & Notes

 

The Chiefs wanted the top seed in the conference and extra rest with the bye, but instead they get to play a Steelers team they dominated in the most recent meeting. Maybe that will help them get back on track defensively, though, after surrendering 58 points in failing to cover their past two games.

Kansas City came from behind to top the Denver Broncos 28-24 last Saturday, falling short of covering as an 11.5-point road favorite. The Chiefs put themselves in position to earn the No. 1 seed with a loss by the Tennessee Titans on Sunday, although that did not happen.

Now they will try to rebound and see if they can win what could be a lower-scoring game that may end a 5-0 OVER run in their past five. The Chiefs vs Steelers pick will likely come down to which team can set the pace.

 

 

Kansas City are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games.

Kansas City are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 9 games against Pittsburgh.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams

Monday - 8:25 PM

LAR -3.5 (-106)

O/U 49.5 (-109)

 

 

 

LA is 9-1 in its last 10 games vs Arizona.

The OVER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Arizona is 6-0 SU in its last 6 as an underdog.

 

 

 

Cardinals News & Notes

 

Arizona became just the ninth team in NFL history to win eight road games in a single season (8-1), including victories at Tennessee, Dallas and of course at SoFi Stadium. In their Week 4 win over the Rams, the Cardinals rushed for 216 yards, including 120 by Chase Edmonds.

Their ground game is a three-headed monster featuring Edmonds, James Conner and quarterback Kyler Murray, who have combined for 1,767 rushing yards this season. As a team, Arizona is averaging 122 rush yards per game and has scored 23 rushing touchdowns, third most in the league.

JJ Watt may return after missing the last 10 games with a shoulder injury. The Cardinals were 7-0 in games he played this season and went just 4-6 without him.

 

 

Arizona are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.

Arizona are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.

Arizona are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games against LA Rams.

Arizona are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games against LA Rams.

 

 

 

Rams News & Notes

 

Yes, Matthew Stafford is 0-3 in his playoff career, but let’s not forget those three losses came as a member of the Detroit Lions. All Stafford did this year was break the Rams’ franchise record for passing yards with 4,886 and finish second to Tom Brady with 41 touchdown passes.

But the numbers don’t lie and Stafford isn’t trending in the right direction. In Weeks 1-9, he was the league’s most efficient quarterback with a passer rating of 111. But since Week 9, he’s thrown a league-high 11 interceptions, including four pick-sixes. Stafford finished with 17 INTs, tied for the most in the league. He will be hoping to replicate his Week 14 performance against the Cardinals when his passer rating was over 139.

Stafford certainly has weapons to play with. Cooper Kupp led the league with 1,947 receiving yards, Van Jefferson had a breakout season and Odell Beckham Jr. has shown some flashes of his old self since coming to Los Angeles.

 

 

 

LA Rams are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.

LA Rams are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Rams' last 5 games against Arizona.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams' last 5 games at home.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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