Divisional Round
January 18-19, 2023
NFL 2024 Season:
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— 121-108-5 +$44,035 NFL 2024 Season —
Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob)
Co Write-Up via @BookieNotes – BigAl.com & FanDuel Sportsbooks
Photo Credit: Andy Lyons/Getty Images
Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs
KC -7.5 (-105) | O/U 41.5 (-105)
SAT 4:30 PM
Texans News & Notes
The Texans finished the NFL regular season with a 10-7 record overall and they were 5-1 in their divisional games. They were 5-3 in their home games, 5-4 in their road games, and they were also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Los Angeles Chargers 32-12. C. J. Stroud was the starting QB and he completed 22/33 passes for 282 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Joe Mixon led the team in rushing yards with 106 and 1 TD. Nico Collins led the receivers with 122 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Eric Murray led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Will Anderson Jr. and Mario Edwards Jr. each led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Derek Stingley Jr. led the defense in interceptions with 2 while Eric Murray and Kamari Lassiter each came away with 1 INT for them in that one.
3-6 ATS off an upset win as an underdog. 1-5 ATS revenging a road loss against an opponent. 3-7 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 5-0 UNDER revenging a road loss against an opponent. 4-1 UNDER after a win by 14 or more points. 24-12 UNDER in games played on a grass field.
Chiefs News & Notes
The Chiefs finished the NFL regular season with a 15-2 record overall and they were 5-1 in their divisional games. They were 8-0 in their home games, 7-2 in their road games, and they were also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Denver Broncos 38-0. Carson Wentz was the starting QB and he completed 10/17 passes for 98 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Carson Steele led the team in rushing yards with 25. Nikko Remigio led the receivers with 48 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Cameron Jones led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
6-1 ATS in playoff games. 6-3 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses. 7-3 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 19-7 UNDER as a home favorite. 13-4 UNDER after playing a division game. 15-7 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record.
Washington Commanders @ Detroit Lions
DET -8.5 (-105) | O/U 55.5 (-110)
SAT 8:00 PM
Commanders News & Notes
The Commanders finished the NFL regular season with a 12-5 record overall and they were 4-2 in their divisional games. They were 7-2 in their home games, 5-3 in their road games, and they were also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23-20. Jayden Daniels was the starting QB and he completed 24/35 passes for 268 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jayden Daniels led the team in rushing yards with 36. Terry McLaurin led the receivers with 89 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Bobby Wagner led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Bobby Wagner and Dorance Armstrong each led the defense in sacks with 0.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
5-8 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. 3-6 1H ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins. 3-6 1H ATS vs. poor passing defenses – allowing 235 or more passing yards/game. 12-5 OVER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 10-5 OVER after a win by 6 or less points. 10-5 OVER vs. good teams – outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season.
Lions News & Notes
The Lions finished the NFL regular season with a 15-2 record overall and they were 6-0 in their divisional games. They were 7-2 in their home games, 8-0 in their road games, and they were also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Minnesota Vikings 31-9. Jared Goff was the starting QB and he completed 27/33 passes for 231 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Jahmyr Gibbs led the team in rushing yards with 139 and 3 TDs. Amon-Ra St. Brown led the receivers with 77 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Kerby Joseph led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Za’Darius Smith and Al-Quadin Muhammad each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
38-16 ATS in all games. 25-12 ATS as a favorite. 21-6 ATS after scoring 30 points or more last game. 10-2 ATS vs. good offensive teams – scoring 24 or more points/game. 18-10 OVER in home games. 23-13 OVER as a favorite. 8-4 OVER vs. good offensive teams – scoring 24 or more points/game.
Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles
PHI -6 (-105) | O/U 543.5 (-110)
SUN 3:30 PM
Rams News & Notes
The Rams finished the NFL regular season with a 10-7 record overall and they were 4-2 in their divisional games. They were 5-4 in their home games, 5-3 in their road games, and they were also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Minnesota Vikings 27-9. Matthew Stafford was the starting QB and he completed 19/27 passes for 209 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Kyren Williams led the team in rushing yards with 76. Tyler Higbee led the receivers with 58 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Quentin Lake led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Kobie Turner led the defense in sacks with 2. Cobie Durant came away with the only interception for them in that one.
1-5 ATS against NFC East division opponents. 5-9 ATS revenging a loss against an opponent. 5-9 1H ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 11-6 UNDER as a road underdog. 9-4 UNDER versus good rushing teams – averaging 130 rushing yards/game or more.
Eagles News & Notes
The Eagles finished the NFL regular season with a 14-3 record overall and they were 5-1 in their divisional games. They were 7-1 in their home games, 6-2 in their road games, and they were also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Green Bay Packers 22-10. Jalen Hurts was the starting QB and he completed 13/21 passes for 131 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Saquon Barkley led the team in rushing yards with 119. DeVonta Smith led the receivers with 55 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Reed Blankenship led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Nolan Smith Jr. led the defense in sacks with 2. Quinyon Mitchell, Zack Baun, and Darius Slay Jr. each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
13-2 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 15-6 ATS off a home win. 7-4 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 4-1 UNDER in playoff games. 17-10 UNDER after playing a game at home.
Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills
BUF -1 (-120) | O/U 51.5 (-115)
SUN 6:30 PM
Ravens News & Notes
The Ravens finished the NFL regular season with a 12-5 record overall and they were 4-2 in their divisional games. They were 6-2 in their home games, 6-3 in their road games, and they were also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Pittsburgh Steelers 28-14. Lamar Jackson was the starting QB and he completed 16/21 passes for 175 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Derrick Henry led the team in rushing yards with 186 and 2 TDs. Isaiah Likely led the receivers with 53 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Ar’Darius Washington led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Nnamdi Madubuike led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
18-8 ATS in road games. 18-6 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 15-3 ATS vs. good offensive teams – scoring 24 or more points/game. 8-2 UNDER off a win against a division rival. 11-6 UNDER versus poor defensive teams – allowing 5.65 yards/play or more.
Bills News & Notes
The Bills finished the NFL regular season with a 13-4 record overall and they were 5-1 in their divisional games. They were 8-0 in their home games, 5-4 in their road games, and they were also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Denver Broncos 31-7. Josh Allen was the starting QB and he completed 20/26 passes for 272 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. James Cook led the team in rushing yards with 120 and 1 TD. Curtis Samuel led the receivers with 68 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Terrel Bernard led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Matt Milano and Greg Rousseau each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
2-9 ATS vs. poor passing defenses – allowing 235 or more passing yards/game. 2-9 1H ATS in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5. 3-7 1H ATS versus good rushing teams – averaging 130 rushing yards/game or more. 12-6 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 8-4 UNDER vs. poor passing defenses – allowing 235 or more passing yards/game. 12-6 UNDER versus good rushing teams – averaging 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more.