Wild Card
January 12-13, 2023
NFL 2024 Season:
—
Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob)
Co Write-Up via @BookieNotes – BigAl.com & FanDuel Sportsbooks
Photo Credit: Ian Johnson/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images
Denver Broncos @ Buffalo Bills
BUF -8.5 (-110) | O/U 47.5 (-104)
SUN 1:00 PM
Broncos News & Notes
The Broncos finished the NFL regular season with a 10-7 record overall and they were 3-3 in their divisional games. They were 6-2 in their home games, 4-5 in their road games, and they were also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Kansas City Chiefs 38-0. Bo Nix was the starting QB and he completed 26/29 passes for 321 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Bo Nix led the team in rushing yards with 47. Courtland Sutton led the receivers with 98 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Nik Bonitto, Ja’Quan McMillian, and Patrick Surtain II each led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Nik Bonitto led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
10-3 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 5-1 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 6-1 ATS vs. good teams – outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season. 8-4 OVER off a home win. 6-0 OVER after scoring 30 points or more last game. 6-3 OVER after a win by 14 or more points.
Bills News & Notes
The Bills finished the NFL regular season with a 13-4 record overall and they were 5-1 in their divisional games. They were 8-0 in their home games, 5-4 in their road games, and they were also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the New England Patriots 23-16. Josh Allen was the starting QB but left after 1 play while Mitchell Trubisky came in and he completed 15/21 passes for 101 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Ray Davis led the team in rushing yards with 64. Curtis Samuel led the receivers with 52 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Javon Solomon led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Von Miller led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
1-3 ATS in playoff games. 2-6 1H ATS in January games. 12-6 OVER after playing a division game. 28-18 1H OVER as a favorite. 18-8 1H OVER in home games. 5-0 1H OVER off an upset loss as a road favorite.
Green Bay Packers @ Philadelphia Eagles
PHI -4.5 (-118) | O/U 45.5 (-108)
SUN 4:30 PM
Packers News & Notes
The Packers finished the NFL regular season with an 11-6 record overall and they were 1-5 in their divisional games. They were 6-3 in their home games, 5-2 in their road games, and they were also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Chicago Bears 24-22. Jordan Love was the starting QB and he completed 7/12 passes for 69 passing yards before getting replaced by Malik Willis who completed 10/13 passes for 136 yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Emanuel Wilson led the team in rushing yards with 73 and 1 TD. Malik Heath led the receivers with 53 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Keisean Nixon led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Rashan Gary led the defense in sacks with 1. Xavier McKinney came away with the only interception for them in that one.
2-5 ATS against NFC East division opponents. 2-5 ATS off a home loss. 8-14 ATS after playing a game at home. 7-0 OVER against NFC East division opponents. 6-1 OVER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 9-2 OVER revenging a loss against an opponent.
Eagles News & Notes
The Eagles finished the NFL regular season with a 14-3 record overall and they were 5-1 in their divisional games. They were 7-1 in their home games, 6-2 in their road games, and they were also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the New York Giants 20-13. Tanner McKee was the starting QB and he completed 27/41 passes for 269 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Will Shipley led the team in rushing yards with 32. Jahan Dotson led the receivers with 94 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Oren Burks led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 9 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Sydney Brown came away with the only interception for them in that one.
12-2 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 11-2 ATS off a win against a division rival. 8-4 ATS vs. good teams – outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season. 12-7 OVER in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 9-4 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 11-4 1H OVER vs. good offensive teams – scoring 24 or more points/game.
Washington Commanders @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
TB -3 (-105) | O/U 50.5 (-110)
SUN 8:00 PM
Commanders News & Notes
The Commanders finished the NFL regular season with a 12-5 record overall and they were 4-2 in their divisional games. They were 7-2 in their home games, 5-3 in their road games, and they were also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Dallas Cowboys 23-19. Jayden Daniels was the starting QB and he completed 6/12 passes for 38 passing yards before getting replaced by Marcus Mariota who completed 15/18 passes for 161 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Marcus Mariota led the team in rushing yards with 56 and 1 TD. Terry McLaurin led the receivers with 62 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Jeremy Chinn led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Jeremy Chinn and Jonathan Allen each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
7-3 ATS off a road win. 9-5 ATS after a win by 6 or less points. 10-4 1H ATS vs. good teams – outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season. 12-6 OVER as a road underdog. 10-5 OVER after playing a division game. 10-4 OVER after a win by 6 or less points.
Buccaneers News & Notes
The Buccaneers finished the NFL regular season with a 10-7 record overall and they were 4-2 in their divisional games. They were 5-4 in their home games, 5-3 in their road games, and they were also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the New Orleans Saints 27-19. Baker Mayfield was the starting QB and he completed 21/32 passes for 221 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Bucky Irving led the team in rushing yards with 89 and 1 TD. Mike Evans led the receivers with 89 receiving yards on 9 receptions. Josh Hayes led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while YaYa Diaby and Vita Vea each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
3-7 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5. 3-6 ATS off a win against a division rival. 5-12 ATS versus good offensive teams – averaging 5.65 yards/play or more. 5-2 OVER off 3 or more consecutive overs. 10-5 OVER versus good rushing teams – averaging 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 9-4 OVER versus poor rushing defenses – allowing 130 rushing yards/game or more.
Minnesota Vikings vs Los Angeles Rams
MIN -2.5 (-120) | O/U 47.5 (-115)
MON 8:00 PM
Vikings News & Notes
The Vikings finished the NFL regular season with a 14-3 record overall and they were 4-2 in their divisional games. They were 7-1 in their home games, 6-2 in their road games, and they were also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Detroit Lions 31-9. Sam Darnold was the starting QB and he completed 18/41 passes for 166 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Cam Akers led the team in rushing yards with 65. Justin Jefferson led the receivers with 54 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Camryn Bynum led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Jonathan Greenard and Jonathan Bullard each led the defense in sacks with 1. Ivan Pace Jr. and Harrison Smith each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
1-4 ATS off a loss against a division rival. 3-7 ATS after allowing 30 points or more last game. 2-13 1H ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses. 9-3 UNDER as a road favorite of 7 points or less. 4-0 UNDER when playing on Monday night. 10-5 1H UNDER versus poor defensive teams – allowing 350 yards/game or more.
Rams News & Notes
The Rams finished the NFL regular season with a 10-7 record overall and they were 4-2 in their divisional games. They were 5-4 in their home games, 5-3 in their road games, and they were also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Seattle Seahawks 30-25. Jimmy Garoppolo was the starting QB and he completed 27/41 passes for 334 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Ronnie Rivers led the team in rushing yards with 48. Jordan Whittington led the receivers with 86 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Jacob Hummel led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Desjuan Johnson led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
7-4 ATS as a home underdog. 7-4 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. 9-5 ATS vs. good offensive teams – scoring 24 or more points/game. 4-0 UNDER when playing on Monday night. 7-2 UNDER after allowing 30 points or more last game. 9-3 UNDER vs. poor passing defenses – allowing 235 or more passing yards/game.
IB’s **PREMIUM PICKS**
IBN CAPPERS ON TWITTER
*Twitter Access For IBN Cappers*
*Email* Incarceratedbob2@Gmail.Com
Get membership info ‘ all picks (All Sports) emailed daily.
IBN FREE PICKS READY NOW ” FREE PICKS FROM ALL CAPPERS
Follow Incarcerated Bob’s **Fantasy Advice Account**
