2024 NFL Week 11

Week 11

November 17, 2023

NFL 2024 Season:

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— 63-58-3 +$12,010 NFL 2024 Season —

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob)
Co Write-Up via @BookieNotes – BigAl.com & FanDuel Sportsbooks
Photo Credit: Ed Mulholland-Imagn Images

Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers

BAL -3 (-120) | O/U 48.5 (-110)

SUN 1:00 PM

Ravens News & Notes

The Ravens are entering this game with a 7-3 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 3-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Cincinnati Bengals 35-34. Lamar Jackson was the starting QB and he completed 25/33 passes for 290 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Derrick Henry led the team in rushing yards with 68 and 1 TD. Tylan Wallace led the receivers with 115 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Roquan Smith led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while Nnamdi Madubuike led the defense in sacks with 3. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

15-7 ATS in road games. 18-10 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 14-4 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 9-0 ATS vs. good teams – outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season. 7-2 UNDER after a win by 6 or less points. 5-2 UNDER off a win against a division rival.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore’s last 6 games.
Baltimore are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games.
Baltimore are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Pittsburgh.
Baltimore are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games against Pittsburgh.

Steelers News & Notes

Pittsburgh are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh’s last 6 games.
Pittsburgh are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh’s last 7 games against Baltimore

Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills

BUF -2 (-105) | O/U 46 (-110)

SUN 4:25 PM

Chiefs News & Notes

The Chiefs are entering this game with a 9-0 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-0 in their home games, 4-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Denver Broncos 16-14. Patrick Mahomes was the starting QB and he completed 28/42 passes for 266 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Kareem Hunt led the team in rushing yards with 35. Kareem Hunt led the receivers with 65 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Nazeeh Johnson led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Nazeeh Johnson and Nick Bolton each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

8-1 ATS as an underdog. 13-4 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 12-5 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. 11-6 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 11-3 UNDER after playing a division game. 12-2 UNDER after a win by 6 or less points.

Kansas City are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City’s last 7 games.
Kansas City are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games.
Kansas City are 8-0 SU in their last 8 games on the road.

Bills News & Notes

The Bills are entering this game with an 8-2 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 4-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Indianapolis Colts 30-20. Josh Allen was the starting QB and he completed 22/37 passes for 280 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. James Cook led the team in rushing yards with 80 and 1 TD. Mack Hollins led the receivers with 86 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Dorian Williams led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Greg Rousseau, Taron Johnson, A.J. Epenesa, and Quinton Jefferson each led the defense in sacks with 1. Taylor Rapp, Taron Johnson, and Austin Johnson each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

6-11 ATS in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 5-11 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins. 12-4 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 12-7 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record. 5-2 UNDER vs. good teams – outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season.

Detroit Lions at Houston Texans

LAC -1 (-110) | O/U 48 (-110)

SUN 8:20 PM

Bengals News & Notes

The Bengals are entering this game with a 4-6 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-4 in their home games, 3-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Baltimore Ravens 35-34. Joe Burrow was the starting QB and he completed 34/56 passes for 428 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Chase Brown led the team in rushing yards with 42 and 1 TD. Ja’Marr Chase led the receivers with 264 receiving yards on 11 receptions and 3 TDs. Germaine Pratt led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

16-8 ATS in road games. 11-5 ATS in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 10-2 ATS after scoring 30 points or more last game. 7-4 UNDER versus poor rushing defenses – allowing 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 3-0 UNDER against teams with a turnover margin of +1 per game or better.

Cincinnati are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati’s last 9 games.
Cincinnati are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games against LA Chargers.
Cincinnati are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against LA Chargers

Chargers News & Notes

The Chargers are entering this game with a 6-3 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 3-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Tennessee Titans 27-17. Justin Herbert was the starting QB and he completed 14/18 passes for 164 passing yards, 1 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Gus Edwards led the team in rushing yards with 55. Ladd McConkey led the receivers with 52 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Daiyan Henley led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Bud Dupree and Tuli Tuipulotu each led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

3-6 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 4-8 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5. 5-9 ATS versus good offensive teams – averaging 5.65 yards/play or more. 27-15 UNDER in all games. 13-7 UNDER in home games. 11-5 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record.