Week 10

November 10, 2023

NFL 2024 Season:

58-51-3 +$16,610 NFL 2024 Season

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob)
Co Write-Up via @BookieNotes – BigAl.com & FanDuel Sportsbooks
Photo Credit: Ed Mulholland-Imagn Images

Pittsburgh Steelers at Washington Commanders

WAS -2.5 (-118) | O/U 44.5 (-114)

SUN 1:00 PM

 

Steelers News & Notes

The Steelers are entering this game with a 6-2 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 3-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the New York Giants 26-18. Russell Wilson was the starting QB and he completed 20/28 passes for 278 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Najee Harris led the team in rushing yards with 114. George Pickens led the receivers with 74 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Joey Porter Jr. led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while T. J. Watt and Alex Highsmith each led the defense in sacks with 2. Beanie Bishop Jr. came away with the only interception for them in that one.
26-16 ATS in all games. 18-9 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 7-3 ATS off a home win. 9-3 ATS versus poor rushing defenses – allowing 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 9-1 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 8-2 UNDER versus good rushing teams – averaging 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 8-3 UNDER versus poor defensive teams – allowing 5.65 yards/play or more.
  • Pittsburgh are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh’s last 5 games.
  • Pittsburgh are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games.
  • Pittsburgh are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games against Washington.

 

Commanders News & Notes

The Commanders are entering this game with a 7-2 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 3-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the New York Giants 27-22. Jayden Daniels was the starting QB and he completed 15/22 passes for 209 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Chris Rodriguez Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 52. Noah Brown led the receivers with 60 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Jeremy Chinn led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Dante Fowler Jr. led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
3-7 ATS after playing a division game. 4-8 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 12-4 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 10-5 UNDER as a favorite. 6-3 UNDER as a home favorite of 7 points or less.
  • Washington are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington’s last 7 games.
  • Washington are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington’s last 7 games against Pittsburgh.

 

New York Jets at Arizona Cardinals

NYJ -1.5 (-112) | O/U 46.5 (-105)

SUN 4:25 PM

 

Jets News & Notes

The Jets are entering this game with a 3-6 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-2 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Houston Texans 21-13. Aaron Rodgers was the starting QB and he completed 22/32 passes for 211 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Breece Hall led the team in rushing yards with 74. Davante Adams led the receivers with 91 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Jamien Sherwood and Quincy Williams each led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Jamien Sherwood and Micheal Clemons each led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
1-6 ATS off a home win. 3-6 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 3-8 ATS versus poor defensive teams – allowing 350 yards/game or more. 7-3 OVER vs. poor passing defenses – allowing 7 or more passing yards/att. 8-4 1H OVER in non-conference games. 11-5 1H OVER when playing against a team with a winning record.
  • NY Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games.
  • NY Jets are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games.
  • NY Jets are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games against Arizona.
  • NY Jets are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games against Arizona.

 

Cardinals News & Notes

The Cardinals are entering this game with a 5-4 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-2 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Chicago Bears 29-9. Kyler Murray was the starting QB and he completed 13/20 passes for 154 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. James Conner led the team in rushing yards with 107. Trey McBride led the receivers with 35 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Budda Baker led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Zaven Collins led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
8-5 ATS in non-conference games. 3-1 ATS versus poor rushing teams – averaging 90 rushing yards/game or less. 8-5 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record. 23-14 1H OVER as an underdog. 8-4 1H OVER as a home underdog of 7 points or less.
  • Arizona are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • Arizona are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona’s last 6 games against NY Jets.
  • Arizona are 5-13 SU in their last 18 games at home.

 

Detroit Lions at Houston Texans

DET -3.5 (-104) | O/U 49.5 (-110)

SUN 8:20 PM

 

Lions News & Notes

The Lions are entering this game with a 7-1 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 4-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Green Bay Packers 24-14. Jared Goff was the starting QB and he completed 18/22 passes for 145 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. David Montgomery led the team in rushing yards with 73. Amon-Ra St. Brown led the receivers with 56 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Brandon Joseph led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Kerby Joseph came away with the only interception for them in that one.
33-12 ATS in all games. 17-5 ATS in road games. 20-8 ATS as a favorite. 19-8 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 8-1 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 27-18 OVER in all games. 19-8 OVER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 9-3 OVER off a road win.
  • Detroit are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit’s last 5 games.
  • Detroit are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games.
  • Detroit are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against Houston.

 

Texans News & Notes

The Texans are entering this game with a 6-3 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 2-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the New York Jets 21-13. C. J. Stroud was the starting QB and he completed 11/30 passes for 191 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Joe Mixon led the team in rushing yards with 106 and 1 TD. Tank Dell led the receivers with 126 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Jalen Pitre led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Denico Autry led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
3-8 ATS off a road loss. 6-12 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 7-13 ATS versus poor defensive teams – allowing 5.65 yards/play or more. 4-7 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 7-3 OVER after scoring 14 points or less last game. 8-4 1H OVER off a road loss. 13-7 1H OVER after playing their last game on the road.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston’s last 8 games.
  • Houston are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston’s last 5 games against Detroit.
  • Houston are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games at home.

 

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