Week 6

October 13, 2023

NFL 2024 Season:

38-29-1 +$16,110 NFL 2024 Season

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob)
Co Write-Up via @BookieNotes – BigAl.com & FanDuel Sportsbooks
Photo Credit:  Steve Mitchell – USA Today Sports

Washington Commanders @ Baltimore Ravens

BAL -6.5 (-115) | O/U 51.5 (-115)

SUN 1:00 PM

 

Commanders News & Notes

The Commanders are entering this game with a 4-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Cleveland Browns 34-13. Jayden Daniels was the starting QB and he completed 14/25 passes for 238 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Jayden Daniels led the team in rushing yards with 82. Terry McLaurin led the receivers with 112 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Frankie Luvu led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Frankie Luvu led the defense in sacks with 2.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
2-6 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. 3-7 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 3-7 ATS versus good offensive teams – averaging 350 yards/game or more. 8-4 UNDER versus poor defensive teams – allowing 5.65 yards/play or more. 9-5 1H UNDER after 1 or more consecutive wins.
  • Washington are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington’s last 6 games.
  • Washington are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington’s last 7 games on the road.

 

Ravens News & Notes

The Ravens are entering this game with a 3-2 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Cincinnati Bengals 41-38 in OT. Lamar Jackson was the starting QB and he completed 26/42 passes for 348 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Derrick Henry led the team in rushing yards with 92 and 1 TD. Zay Flowers led the receivers with 111 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Roquan Smith led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles while Kyle Hamilton, Nnamdi Madubuike, and Tavius Robinson each led the defense in sacks with 1. Marlon Humphrey came away with the only interception for them in that one.
8-4 ATS after playing a division game. 8-0 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. 12-1 ATS vs. good offensive teams – scoring 24 or more points/game. 13-7 UNDER in home games. 12-5 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 7-1 UNDER after a win by 6 or less points.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore’s last 5 games.
  • Baltimore are 14-5 SU in their last 19 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore’s last 7 games against Washington.
  • Baltimore are 13-6 SU in their last 19 games at home.

 

Detroit Lions @ Dallas Cowboys

DET -3 (-115) | O/U 52.5 (-105)

SUN 4:25 PM

 

Lions News & Notes

The Lions are entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Seattle Seahawks 42-29. Jared Goff was the starting QB and he completed 18/18 passes for 292 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jahmyr Gibbs led the team in rushing yards with 78 and 2 TDs. Jameson Williams led the receivers with 80 receiving yards on 2 receptions and 1 TD. Amik Robertson led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Malcolm Rodriguez and D. J. Reader each led the defense in sacks with 1. Kerby Joseph came away with the only interception for them in that one.
29-12 ATS in all games. 14-5 ATS in road games. 12-5 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 16-4 ATS after playing a game at home. 16-9 OVER as a favorite. 16-8 OVER after 1 or more consecutive wins. 8-4 OVER versus poor rushing defenses – allowing 130 rushing yards/game or more.
  • Detroit are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
  • Detroit are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games.
  • Detroit are 0-6 SU in their last 6 games against Dallas.
  • Detroit are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on the road.

 

Cowboys News & Notes

The Cowboys are entering this game with a 3-2 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-2 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Pittsburgh Steelers 20-17. Dak Prescott was the starting QB and he completed 29/42 passes for 352 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Rico Dowdle led the team in rushing yards with 87. Jalen Tolbert led the receivers with 87 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. DeMarvion Overshown led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Linval Joseph led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
2-7 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. 4-10 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 5-10 ATS versus good offensive teams – averaging 5.65 yards/play or more. 13-7 OVER in home games. 16-9 OVER after 1 or more consecutive wins.
  • Dallas are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas’ last 7 games.
  • Dallas are 12-6 SU in their last 18 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Dallas’ last 11 games against Detroit.

 

Cincinnati Bengals @ NY Giants

CIN -3.5 (-118) | O/U 46.5 (-104)

SUN 8:20 PM

 

Bengals News & Notes

The Bengals are entering this game with a 1-4 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-3 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Baltimore Ravens 41-38 in OT. Joe Burrow was the starting QB and he completed 30/39 passes for 392 passing yards, 5 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Chase Brown led the team in rushing yards with 46. Ja’Marr Chase led the receivers with 193 receiving yards on 10 receptions and 2 TDs. Sam Hubbard led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Sam Hubbard led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
10-5 ATS in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 8-2 ATS in non-conference games. 8-2 ATS after scoring 30 points or more last game. 11-1 ATS versus poor defensive teams – allowing 5.65 yards/play or more. 9-3 OVER in non-conference games. 11-6 OVER after playing a game at home. 5-1 OVER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%).
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 6 games.
  • Cincinnati are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.
  • Cincinnati are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games against NY Giants.
  • Cincinnati are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against NY Giants.

 

Gaints News & Notes

The Giants are entering this game with a 2-3 record overall and they have a 0-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-2 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Seattle Seahawks 29-20. Daniel Jones was the starting QB and he completed 23/34 passes for 257 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Tyrone Tracy Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 129. Darius Slayton led the receivers with 122 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Tyler Nubin led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Dexter Lawrence II led the defense in sacks with 3. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
2-6 1H ATS in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 4-10 1H ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins. 2-5 1H ATS off a road win. 6-3 1H OVER in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 6-3 1H OVER when playing against a team with a losing record. 7-4 1H OVER vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game.
  • NY Giants are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants’ last 6 games.
  • NY Giants are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants’ last 5 games against Cincinnati.

 

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