Week 5

October 6, 2023

NFL 2024 Season:

31-24-1 +$22,110 NFL 2024 Season

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob)
Co Write-Up via @BookieNotes – BigAl.com & FanDuel Sportsbooks
Photo Credit:  Steve Mitchell – USA Today Sports

NY Jets @ Minnesota Vikings

MIN -2.5 (-108) | O/U 40.5 (-114)

SUN 9:30 AM

 

Jets News & Notes

The Jets are entering this game with a 2-2 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Denver Broncos 10-9. Aaron Rodgers was the starting QB and he completed 24/42 passes for 225 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Braelon Allen led the team in rushing yards with 34. Mike Williams led the receivers with 67 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Jamien Sherwood led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
New York Jets: 7-13 ATS in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 5-10 ATS after scoring 14 points or less last game. 3-6 ATS versus poor defensive teams – allowing 350 yards/game or more. 24-13 UNDER in all games. 13-6 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 9-4 UNDER vs. good offensive teams – scoring 24 or more points/game.
  • NY Jets are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games.
  • NY Jets are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games against Minnesota.
  • NY Jets are 4-11 SU in their last 15 games on the road.
  • NY Jets are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.

 

Vikings News & Notes

The Vikings are entering this game with a 4-0 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Green Bay Packers 31-29. Sam Darnold was the starting QB and he completed 20/28 passes for 275 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Aaron Jones led the team in rushing yards with 93. Justin Jefferson led the receivers with 85 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Blake Cashman led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Patrick Jones II led the defense in sacks with 1. Byron Murphy Jr., Shaquill Griffin, and Kamu Grugier-Hill each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
Minnesota Vikings: 4-0 ATS against AFC East division opponents. 7-1 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins. 5-1 ATS off an upset win as an underdog. 7-3 UNDER in games played on a grass field. 5-2 1H UNDER in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points.
  • Minnesota are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • Minnesota are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota’s last 5 games against NY Jets.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota’s last 10 games at home.

 

Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans

HOU -1.5 (-105) | O/U 47.5 (-117)

SUN 1:00 PM

 

Bills News & Notes

The Bills are entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Baltimore Ravens 35-10. Josh Allen was the starting QB and he completed 16/29 passes for 180 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. James Cook led the team in rushing yards with 39. Khalil Shakir led the receivers with 62 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Dorian Williams led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles while Baylon Spector led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Buffalo Bills: 3-11 1H ATS as a road favorite. 3-6 1H ATS in games played on a grass field. 6-11 1H ATS versus good offensive teams – averaging 5.65 yards/play or more. 15-4 UNDER in road games. 8-2 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 6-3 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses.
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo’s last 9 games.
  • Buffalo are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games.
  • Buffalo are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against Houston.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo’s last 5 games on the road.

 

Texans News & Notes

The Texans are entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Jacksonville Jaguars 24-20. C. J. Stroud was the starting QB and he completed 27/40 passes for 345 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Cam Akers led the team in rushing yards with 53. Nico Collins led the receivers with 151 receiving yards on 12 receptions and 1 TD. Kamari Lassiter led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Eric Murray led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Houston Texans: 9-3 ATS after playing a division game. 12-7 ATS after playing a game at home. 4-1 ATS vs. good teams – outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season. 24-15 UNDER in all games. 17-9 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 12-6 UNDER after playing a game at home.
  • Houston are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Houston’s last 20 games.
  • Houston are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston’s last 7 games against Buffalo.

 

Dallas Cowboys @ Pittsburgh Steelers

PIT -2.5 (-118) | O/U 43.5 (-105)

SUN 8:20 PM

 

Cowboys News & Notes

The Cowboys are entering this game with a 2-2 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-2 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the New York Giants 20-15. Dak Prescott was the starting QB and he completed 22/27 passes for 221 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Rico Dowdle led the team in rushing yards with 46. CeeDee Lamb led the receivers with 98 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Eric Kendricks led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles while DeMarcus Lawrence led the defense in sacks with 1. Amani Oruwariye came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Dallas Cowboys: 4-8 ATS as an underdog. 2-6 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less. 3-10 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 3-9 ATS in games played on a grass field. 12-7 UNDER in road games. 8-4 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3.
  • Dallas are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas’ last 6 games.
  • Dallas are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games against Pittsburgh.
  • Dallas are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games against Pittsburgh.

 

Steelers News & Notes

The Steelers are entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Indianapolis Colts 27-24. Justin Fields was the starting QB and he completed 22/34 passes for 312 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Justin Fields led the team in rushing yards with 55 and 2 TDs. George Pickens led the receivers with 113 receiving yards on 7 receptions. DeShon Elliott led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Cameron Heyward led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Pittsburgh Steelers: 23-15 ATS in all games. 15-8 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 7-2 ATS versus poor rushing defenses – allowing 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 8-3 ATS in non-conference games. 24-15 UNDER in all games. 8-1 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 14-5 UNDER after playing their last game on the road.

  • Pittsburgh are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh’s last 6 games.
  • Pittsburgh are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh’s last 6 games against Dallas.

 

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