2024 NFL Week 9

Week 9

November 3, 2023

NFL 2024 Season:

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— 52-46-3 +$15,860 NFL 2024 Season —

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob)
Co Write-Up via @BookieNotes – BigAl.com & FanDuel Sportsbooks
Photo Credit: Harry How – GettyImages

Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills

BUF -5.5 (-120) | O/U 49.5 (-110)

SUN 4:05 PM

Dolphins News & Notes

The Dolphins are entering this game with a 2-5 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Arizona Cardinals 28-27. Tua Tagovailoa was the starting QB and he completed 28/38 passes for 234 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. De’Von Achane led the team in rushing yards with 97. Tyreek Hill led the receivers with 72 receiving yards on 6 receptions. David Long Jr. led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

4-8 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less. 3-8 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 5-11 ATS versus good offensive teams – averaging 5.65 yards/play or more. 5-1 UNDER off a home loss. 12-6 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses.

Buffalo are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Buffalo’s last 12 games.
Buffalo are 11-3 SU in their last 14 games.
Buffalo are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games against Seattle.

Bills News & Notes

Seattle are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle’s last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Seattle’s last 10 games against Buffalo.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle’s last 5 games at home.

Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers

DET -2.5 (-112) | O/U 47.5 (-110)

SUN 4:25 PM

Lions News & Notes

The Lions are entering this game with a 6-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Tennessee Titans 52-14. Jared Goff was the starting QB and he completed 12/15 passes for 85 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jahmyr Gibbs led the team in rushing yards with 127 and 1 TD. Sam LaPorta led the receivers with 48 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Terrion Arnold led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Alex Anzalone led the defense in sacks with 1. Kerby Joseph and Trevor Nowaske each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

32-12 ATS in all games. 16-5 ATS in road games. 19-8 ATS as a favorite. 8-0 ATS vs. good offensive teams – scoring 24 or more points/game. 27-17 OVER in all games. 19-7 OVER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 7-1 OVER after allowing 14 points or less last game.

Chicago are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games.
Chicago are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games.
Chicago are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games against Washington.
Chicago are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games against Washington.

Packers News & Notes

The Packers are entering this game with a 6-2 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Jacksonville Jaguars 30-27. Jordan Love was the starting QB and he completed 14/22 passes for 196 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception before leaving injured and getting replaced by Malik Willis who completed 4/5 passes for 56 yards and 1 TD. Josh Jacobs led the team in rushing yards with 127 and 2 TDs. Tucker Kraft led the receivers with 78 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Eric Wilson led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Edgerrin Cooper led the defense in sacks with 1. Xavier McKinney came away with the only interception for them in that one.

3-8 ATS vs. poor passing defenses – allowing 235 or more passing yards/game. 5-9 ATS versus poor rushing defenses – allowing 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 6-11 ATS versus poor defensive teams – allowing 5.65 yards/play or more. 5-1 OVER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 9-0 OVER after a win by 6 or less points. 11-5 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record.

Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings

MIN -5.5 (-110) | O/U 46.5 (-106)

SUN 8:20 PM

Colts News & Notes

The Colts are entering this game with a 4-4 record overall and they have a 1-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Houston Texans 23-20. Anthony Richardson was the starting QB and he completed 10/32 passes for 175 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Jonathan Taylor led the team in rushing yards with 105 and 1 TD. Josh Downs led the receivers with 109 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. Zaire Franklin led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Dayo Odeyingbo and DeForest Buckner each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

4-1 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 12-7 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 5-2 ATS off a loss against a division rival. 7-4 OVER vs. poor passing defenses – allowing 235 or more passing yards/game. 4-1 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%).

Dallas are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas’ last 8 games.
Dallas are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas’ last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco.

Vikings News & Notes

The Vikings are entering this game with a 5-2 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Los Angeles Rams 30-20. Sam Darnold was the starting QB and he completed 18/25 passes for 240 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Aaron Jones led the team in rushing yards with 58. Justin Jefferson led the receivers with 115 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Ivan Pace Jr. led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Byron Murphy Jr. came away with the only interception for them in that one.

4-8 ATS as a home favorite. 4-9 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5. 2-7 ATS after allowing 30 points or more last game. 9-3 OVER as a home favorite. 6-2 OVER after allowing 30 points or more last game. 11-5 OVER versus poor defensive teams – allowing 5.65 yards/play or more.