Super Bowl Sunday
February 11, 2024
NFL 2023 Season:
Current Record: 9-90-2 +$1,745
NFL Playoffs 2023: 144-91-4 +$11,835
NFL Reg-Season & Playoffs 2022: 144-91-4 +$11,835
CFB Reg-Season & Playoffs: 101-73-2 +$18,888
Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob)
Co Write-Up via @JumpmanJordan – Oddsharks.com & FanDuel Sportsbooks
Photo Credit: David Eulitt/Getty Images
San Francisco 49ers @ Kansas City Chiefs
SF -1.5 (-112) | O/U 47.5 (-110)
6:30 PM
Chiefs News & Notes
The Chiefs leaned on their defense in a 17-10 upset win as 4.5-point road underdogs in the AFC Championship Game on Sunday against the top-seeded Baltimore Ravens. Patrick Mahomes turned in another strong effort going 30-for-39 with 241 passing yards and one touchdown pass. Travis Kelce was on the receiving end of that touchdown throw, and he finished the game with 11 catches for 116 yards.
Many fans and experts were ruling Kansas City out as a legitimate postseason threat as the team suffered through a 3-5 SU and 2-5-1 ATS slump in November and December. The Chiefs are 5-0 SU and ATS since then, with back-to-back road upsets over the Buffalo Bills and the Ravens.
Kansas City has faced three top-six scoring offenses so far this postseason in Miami, Baltimore and Buffalo. Steve Spagnuolo’s defense has held those three top offenses to an average of only 13.7 points per game. Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce may grab the headlines as the Chiefs’ top stars, but the defense is the biggest reason Kansas City is back in the big game this year.
The only perceived weakness of this defense is against the run as the Chiefs ranked 18th in the NFL in rushing defense during the regular season allowing 113.2 rushing yards per game. Kansas City held Baltimore’s top-ranked rushing attack to only 81 rushing yards on 16 attempts. San Francisco ranked third in the NFL, averaging 140.5 rushing yards per game this season, and how the Chiefs fare against the 49ers running game could be the x-factor in deciding Super Bowl LVIII.
- Kansas City are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City’s last 6 games.
- Kansas City are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 6 games against San Francisco.
- The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kansas City’s last 8 games at home.
- Kansas City are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco.
- Kansas City are 13-3 SU in their last 16 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
- Kansas City are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference West division.
- Kansas City are 17-3 SU in their last 20 games played on a Sunday.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 6 games when playing as the underdog.
49ers News & Notes
San Francisco erased a 24-7 halftime deficit on Sunday en route to a 34-31 win at home against the Detroit Lions as 7.5-point favorites in the NFC Championship Game. Brock Purdy went 20-for-31 with 267 passing yards, one touchdown pass, one interception and 48 rushing yards on five rushing attempts. Christian McCaffrey recorded 90 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 20 carries and caught four passes for 42 receiving yards.
This 49ers have now completed two comeback wins this postseason after needing a touchdown on their final drive in a 24-21 win over the Green Bay Packers in the Divisional round. San Francisco is 3-2 SU and 1-4 ATS in its last five games since going 6-0 SU and 4-2 ATS in its previous six games.
The 49ers are at their best when they take an early lead and can lean on their elite defense and running game to wear down the opposition and preserve that lead. San Francisco has been forced to ditch that script this postseason and has shown off some new-found resiliency with two straight come-from-behind wins.
These late game heroics aren’t likely to work against the Chiefs. Kansas City ranked second in the NFL in both total defense, allowing 289.8 total yards per game, and in scoring defense; allowing 17.3 points per game during the regular season. San Francisco can win this game by avoiding another slow start and establishing the running game, instead of playing from behind against an elite defense.
- San Francisco are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco’s last 9 games.
- San Francisco are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games.
- San Francisco are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against Kansas City.
- San Francisco are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against Kansas City.
- San Francisco are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on the road.
- San Francisco are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco’s last 7 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference West division.
- San Francisco are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games played on a Sunday.
- San Francisco are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games when playing as the favourite.
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