Week 14

December 8, 2023

NFL 2024 Season:

88-70-4 +$33,710 NFL 2024 Season

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob)
Co Write-Up via @BookieNotes – BigAl.com & FanDuel Sportsbooks
Photo Credit: AP Photo/Gareth Patterson

Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals

AZ -2.5 (-112) | O/U 44.5 (-105)

SUN 4:05 PM

 

Seahawks News & Notes

The Seahawks are entering this game with a 7-5 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-4 in their home games, 4-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the New York Jets 26-21. Geno Smith was the starting QB and he completed 20/31 passes for 206 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Kenneth Walker III led the team in rushing yards with 49. Jaxon Smith-Njigba led the receivers with 74 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Ernest Jones IV led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Leonard Williams led the defense in sacks with 2. Leonard Williams came away with the only interception for them in that one.

3-6 ATS in games played on a grass field. 1-4 1H ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 4-7 1H ATS off an upset win as an underdog. 14-4 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 12-5 UNDER versus division opponents. 7-2 UNDER in games played on a grass field.

  • Seattle are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle’s last 6 games.
  • Seattle are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.
  • Seattle are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Arizona.

 

Cardinals News & Notes

The Cardinals are entering this game with a 6-6 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-2 in their home games, 2-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Minnesota Vikings 23-22. Kyler Murray was the starting QB and he completed 31/45 passes for 260 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. James Conner led the team in rushing yards with 68. Trey McBride led the receivers with 96 receiving yards on 12 receptions. Mack Wilson Sr. led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Mack Wilson Sr. and L.J. Collier each led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
9-5 ATS off a road loss. 3-0 ATS after a 2 game road trip. 4-1 ATS versus poor rushing teams – averaging 90 rushing yards/game or less. 3-1 UNDER revenging an upset loss against an opponent as a favorite. 3-0 1H UNDER after a 2 game road trip. 7-4 1H UNDER versus poor rushing defenses – allowing 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more.
  • Arizona are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona’s last 6 games.
  • Arizona are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona’s last 5 games against Seattle.

 

 

Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams

BUF -3.5 (-110) | O/U 49.5 (-105)

SUN 4:25 PM

 

Bills News & Notes

The Bills are entering this game with a 10-2 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 6-0 in their home games, 4-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the San Francisco 49ers 35-10. Josh Allen was the starting QB and he completed 13/17 passes for 148 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. James Cook led the team in rushing yards with 107 and 1 TD. Dawson Knox led the receivers with 56 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Damar Hamlin led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Greg Rousseau led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
1-5 ATS in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5. 5-9 ATS versus poor rushing defenses – allowing 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 0-4 ATS against teams with a turnover margin of +1 per game or better. 6-0 UNDER in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5.
  • Buffalo are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo’s last 7 games.
  • Buffalo are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games.
  • Buffalo are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against LA Rams.

 

Rams News & Notes

The Rams are entering this game with a 6-6 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-3 in their home games, 3-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the New Orleans Saints 21-14. Matthew Stafford was the starting QB and he completed 14/24 passes for 183 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Kyren Williams led the team in rushing yards with 104 and 1 TD. Puka Nacua led the receivers with 56 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Christian Rozeboom led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
8-2 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less. 9-4 1H ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 16-6 UNDER in road games. 9-2 UNDER as a road favorite of 7 points or less. 6-0 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5. 9-3 UNDER versus poor rushing defenses – allowing 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more.
  • LA Rams are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.
  • LA Rams are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Rams’ last 10 games against Buffalo.
  • LA Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games at home.

 

 

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs

KC -3.5 (-118) | O/U 42.5 (-105)

SUN 8:20 PM

 

Chargers News & Notes

The Chargers are entering this game with an 8-4 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-2 in their home games, 4-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Atlanta Falcons 17-13. Justin Herbert was the starting QB and he completed 16/23 passes for 147 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Gus Edwards led the team in rushing yards with 32. Ladd McConkey led the receivers with 117 receiving yards on 9 receptions. Troy Dye led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 8 assisted tackles while Teair Tart led the defense in sacks with 1. Tarheeb Still led the defense in interceptions with 2 while Marcus Maye and Derwin James Jr. each came away with 1 INT for them in that one.

2-5 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less. 1-4 ATS revenging a home loss against an opponent. 28-17 UNDER in all games. 11-6 UNDER as an underdog. 8-1 UNDER after a win by 6 or less points. 6-3 UNDER after allowing 14 points or less last game.

  • LA Chargers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 10 of LA Chargers’ last 14 games.
  • LA Chargers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.
  • LA Chargers are 0-6 SU in their last 6 games against Kansas City.

 

Chiefs News & Notes

The Chiefs are entering this game with an 11-1 record overall and they have a 4-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 6-0 in their home games, 5-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Las Vegas Raiders 19-17. Patrick Mahomes was the starting QB and he completed 26/46 passes for 306 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Isiah Pacheco led the team in rushing yards with 44. DeAndre Hopkins led the receivers with 90 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Nick Bolton led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Chris Jones led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
12-6 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. 5-2 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 5-1 ATS vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game. 18-6 UNDER as a home favorite. 10-5 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 13-3 UNDER after a win by 6 or less points.
  • Kansas City are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 6 games.
  • Kansas City are 17-1 SU in their last 18 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 5 games against LA Chargers.

 

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