Week 15

December 15, 2023

NFL 2024 Season:

91-77-4 +$21,110 NFL 2024 Season

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob)
Co Write-Up via @BookieNotes – BigAl.com & FanDuel Sportsbooks
Photo Credit: AP Photo/Gareth Patterson

Buffalo Bills @ Detroit Lions

BUF -2.5 (-110) | O/U 54.5 (-110)

SUN 4:25 PM

 

Bills News & Notes

The Bills are entering this game with a 10-3 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 6-0 in their home games, 4-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Los Angeles Rams 44-42. Josh Allen was the starting QB and he completed 22/37 passes for 342 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Josh Allen led the team in rushing yards with 82 and 3 TDs. Khalil Shakir led the receivers with 106 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Taylor Rapp led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

0-7 1H ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5. 2-7 1H ATS versus good rushing teams – averaging 130 rushing yards/game or more. 29-19 1H OVER in all games. 15-7 1H OVER after playing their last game on the road. 4-0 1H OVER off an upset loss as a road favorite.

  • Buffalo are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo’s last 5 games.
  • Buffalo are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games.
  • Buffalo are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games against Detroit.

 

Lions News & Notes

The Lions are entering this game with a 12-1 record overall and they have a 4-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 6-1 in their home games, 6-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Green Bay Packers 34-31. Jared Goff was the starting QB and he completed 32/41 passes for 283 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. David Montgomery led the team in rushing yards with 51 and 1 TD. Jameson Williams led the receivers with 80 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Jack Campbell led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Za’Darius Smith led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
35-15 ATS in all games. 14-5 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 18-5 ATS after scoring 30 points or more last game. 8-0 ATS after a 2 game home stand. 17-9 OVER in home games. 9-5 OVER as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 10-3 OVER after a win by 6 or less points.
  • Detroit are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games.
  • Detroit are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit’s last 7 games against Buffalo.
  • Detroit are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home.

 

 

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Philadelphia Eagles

PHI -5.5 (-110) | O/U 42.5 (-105)

SUN 4:25 PM

 

Steelers News & Notes

The Steelers are entering this game with a 10-3 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 5-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Cleveland Browns 27-14. Russell Wilson was the starting QB and he completed 15/26 passes for 158 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Najee Harris led the team in rushing yards with 53 and 1 TD. Pat Freiermuth led the receivers with 48 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. DeShon Elliott led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Cameron Heyward led the defense in sacks with 2. James Pierre and Keeanu Benton each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
19-29 1H ATS in all games. 4-8 1H ATS off a home win. 4-8 1H ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 11-3 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 17-10 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive wins. 9-3 UNDER versus good rushing teams – averaging 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more.
  • Pittsburgh are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh’s last 8 games.
  • Pittsburgh are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games.
  • Pittsburgh are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Philadelphia.

 

Eagles News & Notes

The Eagles are entering this game with an 11-2 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 6-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Carolina Panthers 22-16. Jalen Hurts was the starting QB and he completed 14/21 passes for 108 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Saquon Barkley led the team in rushing yards with 124. A. J. Brown led the receivers with 43 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Nakobe Dean led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Zack Baun led the defense in sacks with 1. C. J. Gardner-Johnson came away with the only interception for them in that one.
10-2 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 12-5 ATS off a home win. 10-5 ATS after a win by 6 or less points. 9-4 ATS vs. good offensive teams – scoring 24 or more points/game. 4-1 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 7-3 UNDER versus good rushing teams – averaging 130 rushing yards/game or more.
  • Philadelphia are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games.
  • Philadelphia are 9-0 SU in their last 9 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games against Pittsburgh.

 

Green Bay Packers @ Seattle Seahawks

KC -2.5 (-115) | O/U 46.5 (-105)

SUN 8:20 PM

 

Packers News & Notes

The Packers are entering this game with a 9-4 record overall and they have a 1-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-2 in their home games, 4-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Detroit Lions 34-31. Jordan Love was the starting QB and he completed 12/20 passes for 206 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Josh Jacobs led the team in rushing yards with 66 and 3 TDs. Christian Watson led the receivers with 114 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Quay Walker led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Rashan Gary led the defense in sacks with 1. Keisean Nixon came away with the only interception for them in that one.

6-0 ATS against NFC West division opponents. 11-3 ATS after playing a division game. 14-7 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 4-1 UNDER against NFC West division opponents. 9-5 UNDER after playing a division game. 13-6 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses.

  • Green Bay are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games.
  • Green Bay are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games against Seattle.
  • Green Bay are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against Seattle.
  • The total has gone OVER in 10 of Green Bay’s last 13 games on the road.

 

Seahawks News & Notes

The Seahawks are entering this game with an 8-5 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-4 in their home games, 5-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Arizona Cardinals 30-18. Geno Smith was the starting QB and he completed 24/30 passes for 233 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Zach Charbonnet led the team in rushing yards with 134 and 2 TDs. Jaxon Smith-Njigba led the receivers with 82 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Ernest Jones IV led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Rayshawn Jenkins and Johnathan Hankins each led the defense in sacks with 1. Ernest Jones IV and Coby Bryant each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
9-15 ATS in home games. 7-12 ATS in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 1-3 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 14-5 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 8-2 UNDER as a home underdog of 7 points or less. 6-3 UNDER after scoring 30 points or more last game.
  • Seattle are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle’s last 7 games.
  • Seattle are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
  • Seattle are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games at home.

 

 

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