Week 16
December 21-22, 2023
NFL 2024 Season:
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— 97-85-4 +$14,810 NFL 2024 Season —
Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob)
Co Write-Up via @BookieNotes – BigAl.com & FanDuel Sportsbooks
Photo Credit: AP Photo/Gareth Patterson
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens
BAL -2.5 (-110) | O/U 44.5 (-110)
SAT 5:30 PM
Steelers News & Notes
The Bills are entering this game with a 10-3 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 6-0 in their home games, 4-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Los Angeles Rams 44-42. Josh Allen was the starting QB and he completed 22/37 passes for 342 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Josh Allen led the team in rushing yards with 82 and 3 TDs. Khalil Shakir led the receivers with 106 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Taylor Rapp led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
0-7 1H ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5. 2-7 1H ATS versus good rushing teams – averaging 130 rushing yards/game or more. 29-19 1H OVER in all games. 15-7 1H OVER after playing their last game on the road. 4-0 1H OVER off an upset loss as a road favorite.
- Buffalo are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo’s last 5 games.
- Buffalo are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games.
- Buffalo are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games against Detroit.
Ravens News & Notes
The Steelers are entering this game with a 10-4 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 5-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Philadelphia Eagles 27-13. Russell Wilson was the starting QB and he completed 14/22 passes for 128 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Najee Harris led the team in rushing yards with 14. Calvin Austin III led the receivers with 65 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Patrick Queen led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while T. J. Watt led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
19-30 1H ATS in all games. 8-16 1H ATS after playing their last game on the road. 3-11 1H ATS vs. good offensive teams – scoring 24 or more points/game. 12-3 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 8-1 UNDER vs. poor passing defenses – allowing 235 or more passing yards/game. 8-1 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%).
- Detroit are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games.
- Detroit are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit’s last 7 games against Buffalo.
- Detroit are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home.
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders
PHI -5.5 (-108) | O/U 45.5 (-105)
SUN 1:00 PM
Eagles News & Notes
The Eagles are entering this game with a 12-2 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 6-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Pittsburgh Steelers 27-13. Jalen Hurts was the starting QB and he completed 25/32 passes for 290 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Saquon Barkley led the team in rushing yards with 65. A. J. Brown led the receivers with 110 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Nakobe Dean led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Nolan Smith Jr. and Josh Sweat each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
12-4 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 13-5 ATS off a home win. 9-4 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. 8-4 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 7-4 OVER after allowing 14 points or less last game.
- Philadelphia are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games.
- Philadelphia are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games.
- Philadelphia are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games against Washington.
Commanders News & Notes
The Commanders are entering this game with a 9-5 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-2 in their home games, 4-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the New Orleans Saints 20-19. Jayden Daniels was the starting QB and he completed 25/31 passes for 226 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jayden Daniels led the team in rushing yards with 66. Terry McLaurin led the receivers with 73 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 2 TDs. Jeremy Chinn led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Jeremy Chinn, Dorance Armstrong, and Daron Payne each led the defense in sacks with 1. Mike Sainristil came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
2-6 ATS as a home underdog. 5-10 ATS versus division opponents. 2-8 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. 8-3 OVER after a win by 6 or less points. 4-1 OVER revenging a same season loss against an opponent. 9-4 OVER vs. good teams – outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season.
- Washington are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 10 of Washington’s last 15 games.
- Washington are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games.
- Washington are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games at home.
Minnesota Vikings vs Seattle Seahawks
MIN -3 (-110) | O/U 42.5 (-110)
SUN 4:05 PM
Vikings News & Notes
The Vikings are entering this game with a 12-2 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 6-1 in their home games, 5-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Chicago Bears 30-12. Sam Darnold was the starting QB and he completed 24/40 passes for 231 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Aaron Jones led the team in rushing yards with 86 and 1 TD. Justin Jefferson led the receivers with 73 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Josh Metellus led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Jonathan Greenard and Dallas Turner each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
6-0 ATS against NFC West division opponents. 11-3 ATS after playing a division game. 14-7 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 4-1 UNDER against NFC West division opponents. 9-5 UNDER after playing a division game. 13-6 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota’s last 7 games.
- Minnesota are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games.
- Minnesota are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games against Seattle.
- Minnesota are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games on the road.
Seahawks News & Notes
The Seahawks are entering this game with an 8-6 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-5 in their home games, 5-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Green Bay Packers 30-13. Geno Smith was the starting QB and he completed 15/19 passes for 149 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception before leaving injured and getting replaced by Sam Howell who completed 5/14 passes for 24 yards and 1 INT. Zach Charbonnet led the team in rushing yards with 54 and 1 TD. Jaxon Smith-Njigba led the receivers with 83 receiving yards on 10 receptions. Coby Bryant led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Seattle Seahawks: 9-16 ATS in home games. 7-13 ATS in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 2-6 ATS vs. good teams – outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season. 9-2 UNDER as a home underdog of 7 points or less. 10-5 UNDER vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. 5-1 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%).
- Seattle are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle’s last 8 games.
- Seattle are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle’s last 5 games against Minnesota.
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