Week 17
December 29, 2023
NFL 2024 Season:
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— 107-93-5 +$22,110 NFL 2024 Season —
Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob)
Co Write-Up via @BookieNotes – BigAl.com & FanDuel Sportsbooks
Photo Credit: Matt Krohn-Imagn Images
Caolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
TB -9.5 (-110) | O/U 47.5 (-105)
SUN 1:00 PM
Panthers News & Notes
The Panthers are entering this game with a 4-11 record overall and they have a 1-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-6 in their home games, 1-5 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Arizona Cardinals 36-30 in OT. Bryce Young was the starting QB and he completed 17/26 passes for 158 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Chuba Hubbard led the team in rushing yards with 152 and 2 TDs. Adam Thielen led the receivers with 43 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Mike Jackson led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Jacoby Windmon, A’Shawn Robinson, and D.J. Wonnum each led the defense in sacks with 1. Demani Richardson came away with the only interception for them in that one.
7-4 ATS versus division opponents. 7-4 ATS versus good rushing teams – averaging 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 9-3 UNDER versus division opponents. 9-4 1H UNDER revenging a loss against an opponent.
- Carolina are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina’s last 5 games.
- Carolina are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.
- Carolina are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games against Tampa Bay.
Buccs News & Notes
The Buccaneers are entering this game with an 8-7 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-4 in their home games, 5-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Dallas Cowboys 26-24. Baker Mayfield was the starting QB and he completed 31/43 passes for 303 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Bucky Irving led the team in rushing yards with 68 and 1 TD. Mike Evans led the receivers with 69 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Christian Izien led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while YaYa Diaby and Calijah Kancey each led the defense in sacks with 0.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
3-9 ATS in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 4-10 ATS versus good rushing teams – averaging 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 4-11 ATS vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game. 18-9 UNDER as a favorite. 9-4 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 6-3 UNDER off an upset loss as a favorite.
- Tampa Bay are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 9 of Tampa Bay’s last 12 games.
- Tampa Bay are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay’s last 10 games against Carolina.
Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings
MIN -1.5 (-110) | O/U 48.5 (-108)
SUN 4:25 PM
Packers News & Notes
The Packers are entering this game with an 11-4 record overall and they have a 1-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 6-2 in their home games, 5-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the New Orleans Saints 34-0. Jordan Love was the starting QB and he completed 16/28 passes for 182 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Josh Jacobs led the team in rushing yards with 69 and 1 TD. Jayden Reed led the receivers with 76 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Edgerrin Cooper led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Devonte Wyatt, Keisean Nixon, and Brenton Cox Jr. each led the defense in sacks with 1. Zayne Anderson came away with the only interception for them in that one.
3-6 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less. 0-4 ATS revenging an upset loss against an opponent as a favorite. 4-9 ATS vs. poor passing defenses – allowing 235 or more passing yards/game. 5-0 OVER revenging a home loss against an opponent. 7-3 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 6-3 OVER vs. good teams – outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season.
- Green Bay are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay’s last 7 games.
- Green Bay are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.
- Green Bay are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road.
Vikings News & Notes
The Vikings are entering this game with a 13-2 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 6-1 in their home games, 6-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Seattle Seahawks 27-24. Sam Darnold was the starting QB and he completed 22/35 passes for 246 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Aaron Jones led the team in rushing yards with 67. Justin Jefferson led the receivers with 144 receiving yards on 10 receptions and 2 TDs. Blake Cashman led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Andrew Van Ginkel led the defense in sacks with 2. Theo Jackson and Dallas Turner each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
8-4 ATS off a road win. 11-3 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins. 11-6 1H ATS after a win by 6 or less points. 7-2 OVER vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. 12-4 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record. 8-2 OVER versus good offensive teams – averaging 350 yards/game or more.
- Minnesota are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games.
- Minnesota are 8-0 SU in their last 8 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota’s last 9 games against Green Bay.
- Minnesota are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games at home.
Minnesota Vikings vs Seattle Seahawks
WSH -3.5 (-110) | O/U 46.5 (-105)
SUN 8:20 PM
Falcons News & Notes
The Falcons are entering this game with an 8-7 record overall and they have a 4-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-4 in their home games, 4-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the New York Giants 34-7. Michael Penix Jr. was the starting QB and he completed 18/27 passes for 202 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Bijan Robinson led the team in rushing yards with 94 and 2 TDs. Darnell Mooney led the receivers with 82 receiving yards on 5 receptions. JD Bertrand and Dee Alford each led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Kaden Elliss, Arnold Ebiketie, and Matthew Judon each led the defense in sacks with 1. Jessie Bates III and Matthew Judon each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
4-8 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less. 0-4 ATS after a win by 14 or more points. 6-11 ATS versus poor defensive teams – allowing 5.65 yards/play or more. 5-2 OVER after allowing 14 points or less last game. 9-5 1H OVER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 23-10 1H OVER against conference opponents.
- Atlanta are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta’s last 7 games.
- Atlanta are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games.
- Atlanta are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Washington.
Commanders News & Notes
The Commanders are entering this game with a 10-5 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 6-2 in their home games, 4-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Philadelphia Eagles 36-33. Jayden Daniels was the starting QB and he completed 24/39 passes for 258 passing yards, 5 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Jayden Daniels led the team in rushing yards with 81. Olamide Zaccheaus led the receivers with 70 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 2 TDs. Bobby Wagner led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Jer’Zhan Newton, Clelin Ferrell, Jalyn Holmes, and Dante Fowler Jr. each led the defense in sacks with 1. Frankie Luvu came away with the only interception for them in that one.
8-4 ATS after a win by 6 or less points. 5-2 ATS off an upset win as an underdog. 9-5 OVER after playing a division game. 9-3 OVER after a win by 6 or less points. 6-3 OVER after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. 9-3 OVER vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att.
- Washington are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington’s last 7 games.
- Washington are 10-4 SU in their last 14 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington’s last 5 games at home.
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