Week 18
January 4-5, 2023
NFL 2024 Season:
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— 111-97-5 +$24,260 NFL 2024 Season —
Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob)
Co Write-Up via @BookieNotes – BigAl.com & FanDuel Sportsbooks
Photo Credit: Ian Johnson/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images
Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers
CIN -2.5 (-105) | O/U 48.5 (-105)
SUN 1:00 PM
Bengals News & Notes
The Bengals are entering this game with an 8-8 record overall and they have a 2-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-5 in their home games, 5-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Denver Broncos 30-24 in OT. Joe Burrow was the starting QB and he completed 39/49 passes for 412 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Chase Brown led the team in rushing yards with 67. Tee Higgins led the receivers with 131 receiving yards on 11 receptions and 3 TDs. Cam Taylor-Britt led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Cedric Johnson led the defense in sacks with 1. Germaine Pratt came away with the only interception for them in that one.
8-3 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 18-9 ATS in road games. 12-3 ATS after scoring 30 points or more last game. 10-3 OVER revenging a loss against an opponent. 6-3 OVER after a win by 6 or less points. 10-5 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%).
- Cincinnati are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati’s last 9 games.
- Cincinnati are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
- Cincinnati are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Pittsburgh.
Steelers News & Notes
The Steelers are entering this game with a 10-6 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-2 in their home games, 5-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Kansas City Chiefs 29-10. Russell Wilson was the starting QB and he completed 23/37 passes for 205 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Najee Harris led the team in rushing yards with 74. Pat Freiermuth led the receivers with 60 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Minkah Fitzpatrick led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
8-16 1H ATS in home games. 3-12 1H ATS vs. good offensive teams – scoring 24 or more points/game. 4-13 1H ATS versus good offensive teams – averaging 350 yards/game or more. 7-2 OVER off a home loss. 14-8 OVER after playing a game at home. 9-4 1H OVER vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att.
- Pittsburgh are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.
- Pittsburgh are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh’s last 9 games against Cincinnati.
- Pittsburgh are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games at home.
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos
MIN -10.5 (-105) | O/U 40.5 (-105)
SUN 4:25 PM
Chiefs News & Notes
The Chiefs are entering this game with a 15-1 record overall and they have a 5-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 8-0 in their home games, 7-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Pittsburgh Steelers 29-10. Patrick Mahomes was the starting QB and he completed 29/38 passes for 320 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Kareem Hunt led the team in rushing yards with 20 and 1 TD. Travis Kelce led the receivers with 84 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Christian Roland-Wallace led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Mike Danna led the defense in sacks with 2. Justin Reid came away with the only interception for them in that one.
5-11 ATS versus division opponents. 2-8 ATS after a win by 14 or more points. 6-2 UNDER in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 11-6 UNDER versus division opponents. 14-7 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record. 14-6 UNDER vs. good offensive teams – scoring 24 or more points/game.
- Kansas City are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 5 games.
- Kansas City are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games.
- Kansas City are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Denver.
Broncos News & Notes
The Broncos are entering this game with a 9-7 record overall and they have a 2-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-2 in their home games, 4-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Cincinnati Bengals 30-24 in OT. Bo Nix was the starting QB and he completed 24/31 passes for 219 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Jaleel McLaughlin led the team in rushing yards with 69. Marvin Mims Jr. led the receivers with 103 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 2 TDs. Riley Moss led the defense in that game with 11 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Zach Allen led the defense in sacks with 3.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
9-4 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses. 8-4 ATS vs. good offensive teams – scoring 24 or more points/game. 5-1 ATS vs. good teams – outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season. 9-5 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive losses. 12-7 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record.
- Denver are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver’s last 5 games.
- Denver are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Denver’s last 13 games against Kansas City.
Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions
DET -2.5 (-120) | O/U 56.5 (-115)
SUN 8:20 PM
Vikings News & Notes
The Vikings are entering this game with a 14-2 record overall and they have a 4-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 7-1 in their home games, 6-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Green Bay Packers 27-25. Sam Darnold was the starting QB and he completed 33/43 passes for 377 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Aaron Jones led the team in rushing yards with 47. Justin Jefferson led the receivers with 92 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Blake Cashman led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Blake Cashman led the defense in sacks with 1.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
0-6 ATS in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5. 5-10 ATS versus good rushing teams – averaging 130 rushing yards/game or more. 8-2 OVER as a road underdog of 7 points or less. 11-6 OVER versus division opponents. 13-4 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record.
- Minnesota are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota’s last 6 games.
- Minnesota are 9-0 SU in their last 9 games.
- Minnesota are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games against Detroit.
Lions News & Notes
The Lions are entering this game with a 14-2 record overall and they have a 5-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 6-2 in their home games, 8-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the San Francisco 49ers 40-34. Jared Goff was the starting QB and he completed 26/34 passes for 303 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jahmyr Gibbs led the team in rushing yards with 117 and 1 TD. Jameson Williams led the receivers with 77 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Terrion Arnold led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Brian Branch and Myles Adams each led the defense in sacks with 1. Kerby Joseph came away with the only 2 interceptions for them in that one.
37-16 ATS in all games. 14-6 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 20-6 ATS after scoring 30 points or more last game. 11-2 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 32-20 OVER in all games. 18-9 OVER in home games. 11-3 OVER after a win by 6 or less points. 7-2 OVER vs. good teams – outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season.
- Detroit are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit’s last 5 games.
- Detroit are 13-1 SU in their last 14 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit’s last 6 games against Minnesota.
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